Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 1/18/24
Planning on watching today’s Trojans and Jaguars game? Catch the action at Mitchell Center in Mobile, AL, as the Jaguars hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 150.5 points, and the Jaguars are favored to win at home vs. the Trojans.
TROY TROJANS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -1
This game will be played at Mitchell Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.
WHY BET THE SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Jaguars.
- Not only will South Alabama pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Can the Trojans Grab a Win on the Road?
Troy enters tonight’s game as the underdog, as they have gone 1-6 in games where they were not favored this season. They have also struggled on the road, going just 1-5 compared to 7-1 at home.
After a 82-56 win over Southern Miss, the Trojans have now won six games in a row. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have gone just 3-7.
As the underdog this season, Troy has an ATS record of 4-3 and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 games as the underdog. On the road, the Trojans have an ATS record of 4-2 this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record in Troy games is 8-6. The average scoring total in their games this year is 149.9, which is similar to the average OU line of 145.7. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their average scoring total in those games is 138 points.
Troy’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 82 points against Southern Miss. They had an overall field goal percentage of 41.9% and made 21/28 free throws. One area that the Troy offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 35th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.
At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 111st in the country, permitting 69.6 points per game. Troy’s three-point defense is currently 40th in the country at 5.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.0% of their shots vs. Troy.
Will the Jaguars Live Up to Expectations at Home?
South Alabama enters today’s game as a one-point favorite, and they have gone 4-2 when favored this season. They have gone 3-3 at home, and their average scoring margin at home is +1.5 points per game.
So far, South Alabama has gone 9-8 overall, and they have gone 2-3 in Sun Belt play. In their last game, they defeated Marshall by a score of 91-85, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.
As the favorite this season, South Alabama has gone 4-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Jaguars are 8-2 ATS. At home this year, South Alabama is 3-3 ATS and their home ATS mark over their last 10 games is 4-3.
South Alabama’s over/under record this season is 8-6 and today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.3). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 162 points compared to their season average of 150.8 points per game. So far, 11 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line.
South Alabama’s offense had a good outing, putting up 91 points against Marshall. They achieved a 52.2% field goal percentage and went 13/19 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Isiah Gaiter with 25 points. Tyrell Jones also added 23 points for the Jaguars.
Looking at the South Alabama defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.0 points per game (256th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, South Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.7% this season.