Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Pick & Prediction 5/1/25
Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Senators face off at 7:00 ET on TBS. The Senators are hosting the game at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Senators are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Maple Leafs.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5
This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, May 1st.
WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:
- According to our analysis, we anticipate the Senators to win this one with a projected score of 4-2.
- Take the Senators on the moneyline
- The Senators should also cover at -1.5
Can the Maple Leafs Grab a Win on the Road?
After a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, the Maple Leafs’ record now stands at 52-26-4. Toronto, the underdog on the puck line, kept the game under the total of 6 goals, with both teams combining for just 3.
Toronto fell behind early, conceding a goal at 9:41 in the first period. William Nylander tied it up with a power-play goal at 19:08 in the first. The game remained tied until the Wild scored at 2:14 in overtime.
Toronto’s offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th. The Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after Nylander’s goal at 19:08 in the first period.
Toronto had 10 giveaways in the game and were unable to find the net in the second, third, and overtime periods. The Leafs had 2 assists on their lone goal and did not score any shorthanded or empty net goals.
Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period, but they didn’t allow another until 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Will the Senators Come Through as Home Favorites?
With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 45-30-7 this season. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals was never in danger, as the combined score was just 3.
Three different players found the net for the Senators. Adam Gaudette scored first, at 14:32 in the first period. Brady Tkachuk added another in the second, and Tim Stützle sealed the game with an empty-net goal in the third.
Ottawa’s offense struck for three goals in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also netted his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.
The Senators took 23 shots on goal and recorded 11 giveaways. None of their goals came on the power play, and they picked up five assists, including Tim Stützle’s 10th of the season.
On defense, the Senators will look to build off a strong performance in their previous game against Seattle, where they allowed 0 goals. Goalie Anton Forsberg made 22 saves, posting a 100% save percentage. The Senators’ defense also recorded 2 takeaways, 25 hits, and 14 blocks.