Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Pick & Prediction 4/26/25

The Maple Leafs and Senators are set to face off at 7:00 ET on TBS. The Senators will host the game at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The over/under for this game is set at 5.5 goals, and the Senators are favored by -1.5 against the Maple Leafs in a Atlantic division matchup.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5
This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Saturday, April 26th.
WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:
- With a 1.5-goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Senators to secure a 4-3 victory.
- Take the Senators on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Can Toronto Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?
Toronto’s latest game ended in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, bringing their record to 52-26-4. The Maple Leafs trailed in the first period before William Nylander tied it up at 19:08. The game stayed even until the Wild scored 2:14 into overtime.
The total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. As underdogs on the puck line, Toronto failed to cover. All of the game’s scoring happened in the first period and overtime.
Toronto’s offense was held to just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his ninth goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his sixth assist and Mitchell Marner adding his 12th.
The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were unable to score after Nylander’s goal at 19:08 in the first period. They struggled with giveaways, committing 10 in the game.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. The Leafs’ defense also recorded 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Will Ottawa Make it Happen at Home?
With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators moved to 45-30-7. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.
All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, and Tim Stützle’s goal in the third period was an empty-netter. The Senators’ defense held Seattle to 22 shots, all stopped by Anton Forsberg.
Ottawa’s offense netted three goals in their 3-0 win over Seattle, with Tim Stützle scoring his 6th goal of the season on an empty net. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal, while Brady Tkachuk added his 7th as well.
The Senators fired 23 shots on goal, with none of their goals coming on the power play. They recorded 11 giveaways and picked up 5 assists in the game.
On defense, the Senators will look to carry over their performance from their last game, where they shut out the Kraken 3-0. Anton Forsberg stopped all 22 shots he faced, finishing with a 100% save percentage. The Senators also recorded 2 takeaways and 25 hits.