Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Pick & Prediction 12/7/23

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Maple Leafs versus the Senators? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The Maple Leafs are the favorites in this Atlantic division matchup against Senators. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Ottawa Senators +1.5

This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, December 7th.

WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:

  • Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Senators winning this game by a score of 4-3.
  • We like the Senators on the moneyline (+110)
  • The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Maple Leafs Have a Shot at a Road Win?

This season, the Maple Leafs currently hold an overall record of 12-6-4. When playing on the road, Toronto has a 5-2-3 record, while they are 7-4-1 at home. They are currently positioned 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 7th in the Eastern conference.

Against the puck line, Toronto is 5-17. Their road puck line record so far is 2-8 while sitting 3-9 at home against the puckline. This season, Toronto’s games are averaging 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Maple Leafs currently have an over/under record of 11-10-1.

Through their last three road contests, the Maple Leafs offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Toronto posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 0-3 ATS.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, putting them in the 22nd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 27th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 5-3 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 6-3.

The leading scorer for Toronto’s offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 16 goals, ranking 4th in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 9 assists.

Defensively, the Senators come into the season ranked 30th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 30.6 shots per game against Ottawa. For the season, they are ranked 16th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Joseph Woll has started 12 games this season. His current record stands at 8-5, and his save percentage is 91.5%.

Do the Senators Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

As they head into their game vs. the Maple Leafs, the Senators have a 10-10-0 record thus far. While playing at home, their record stands at 8-7-0, and they have 2-3-0 mark on the road. In the Eastern Atlantic division, they are currently 8th, and in the Eastern conference, they come into the game sitting 16th.

When it came to the puck line, Ottawa have posted a 10-10 record. Their road performance against the puck line stands at 3-2, while they are 7-8 at home. On average, Ottawa’s games have finished with 6.8 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.5. In total, the Senators come in with an over/under record of 10-7-3.

When looking at their past three matchups at home, Ottawa has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

On offense, the Senators are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 29th in the league. In terms of the Senators’ offense during power plays, they are 20th in power play goals and 25th in shorthanded goals.

The leading scorer for Ottawa’s offense is Brady Tkachuk. Coming into the game he has 13 goals, ranking 14th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Tkachuk has 6 assists this season.

Defensively, the Senators come into the season ranked 30th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 30.6 shots per game against Ottawa. For the season, they are ranked 16th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Goalie Joonas Korpisalo gets the start and has made 12 starts this season. His record at this point is 5-6, and his save percentage is 89.7%.