Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/20/25

Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Rangers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Rangers are hosting the game at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. This Eastern conference matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Rangers are favored by -1.5 goals vs. the Maple Leafs.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS NEW YORK RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Rangers -1.5

This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 20th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK RANGERS:

  • With the Rangers being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Rangers.
  • Take the Rangers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Maple Leafs (+1.5)

Can the Maple Leafs Offense Score Enough in New York?

Toronto’s latest game ended in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, bringing their record to 41-24-3. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.

After the Wild scored first, William Nylander tied it up with just 52 seconds left in the first period. The game remained scoreless until Minnesota netted the winner 2:14 into overtime.

William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner recorded his 12th assist on Nylander’s goal.

The Maple Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after the first period. Toronto had 10 giveaways in the game.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

Will the Rangers Win at Home?

The Rangers improved to 33-30-6 with a 5-2 win over the Islanders. Entering as -1.5 goal favorites, the Rangers covered the puck line. The total for the game was set at 6 goals, and the combined 7 goals surpassed that mark.

Four different Rangers scored in the game, with Artemi Panarin leading the way with two goals. New York built a 2-0 lead before the Islanders cut it to 3-2, but the Rangers pulled away with two more goals in the third period.

Artemi Panarin found the net twice, including his 9th goal on an empty net and his 8th on a power play. Chris Kreider opened the scoring with his 8th goal, while Vincent Trocheck added his 4th. Adam Edstrom also contributed, netting his first goal of the season.

Mika Zibanejad added three assists, bringing his total to 8 for the season. The Rangers fired 40 shots on goal and scored once while shorthanded.

On defense, the Rangers will look to build on their last game, where they gave up just 2 goals to the Islanders. Igor Shesterkin made 35 saves, finishing with a 94.6% save percentage. The Rangers’ defense also contributed 10 takeaways, 19 hits, and 18 blocks.