Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/16/25
Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Maple Leafs versus the Panthers? The puck drops at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on TNT. The game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 5.5 goals, and the Panthers are favored by -1.5 vs. the Maple Leafs.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5
This game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Friday, May 16th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:
- With the Panthers being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Panthers.
- Take the Panthers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Will the Maple Leafs Pull Through as the Away Underdog?
Toronto fell to 52-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.
William Nylander scored Toronto’s only goal, tying the game at 19:08 in the first period. The Wild scored the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews added his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner picked up his 12th assist on the play.
Toronto took 28 shots on goal and had 10 giveaways. After Nylander’s goal, the Leafs were held scoreless in the second, third, and overtime periods.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz recorded 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Can Florida Deliver Being Favored at Home?
Florida picked up a 4-2 win over the Stars, bringing their record to 47-31-4. The Panthers, favored by -1.5 goals, covered the puck line with the victory. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined 6 goals fell just short of that mark.
Four different Panthers players found the net in this one. Evan Rodrigues opened the scoring at 5:15 in the first period. Florida led 2-0 in the second, but the Stars responded with two goals to tie it up. A.J. Greer put the Panthers back in front at 2:32 in the third, and Sam Reinhart added an empty-netter to seal the win.
The Panthers’ offense put 25 shots on goal in their 4-2 win over the Stars, with A.J. Greer netting his first goal of the season. Sam Reinhart, who now has 10 goals this year, scored on an empty net and also picked up his 11th assist. Tomas Nosek got his first assist of the season.
Florida opened the scoring at 5:15 in the first period with Evan Rodrigues’ third goal of the year. Matthew Tkachuk added his third goal as well, which came on a power play in the second period. The Panthers finished the game with 16 giveaways.
After allowing two goals in the second period, the Panthers’ defense shut down the Stars in the third, helping Florida secure a 4-2 win. Spencer Knight finished with 23 saves and a 92% save percentage, while the defense added 8 takeaways and 22 hits.