Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/25
Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Maple Leafs versus the Panthers? The puck drops at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on TBS. The game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 6 goals, with the Panthers being favored by -1.5 at home against the Maple Leafs.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5
This game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena at 7:30 ET on Sunday, May 11th.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:
- With the Panthers being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Panthers.
- Take the Panthers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Can the Maple Leafs Pull the Upset on the Road?
Toronto fell to 52-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs were underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, with the combined score of 3 falling short of that mark.
After the Wild scored first, William Nylander tied it up for Toronto with a goal at 19:08 in the first period. The game remained scoreless until the Wild netted the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner added his 12th assist on the play.
Toronto fired 28 shots on goal but only managed to score once. The Leafs had 10 giveaways in the game.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs allowed the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also recorded 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Can the Panthers Deliver Being Favored at Home?
Florida improved to 47-31-4 with a 4-2 win over the Stars. The Panthers covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined score falling just short of that.
Four different players scored for the Panthers, who led 2-0 before the Stars tied it up. Florida regained the lead with a goal in the third period and added an empty-netter to seal the victory.
The Panthers’ offense took 25 shots on goal, scoring four times in their 4-2 victory over Dallas. A.J. Greer netted his first goal of the season, while Sam Reinhart added an empty-netter for his 10th goal. Matthew Tkachuk also found the net, bringing his season total to three goals.
Carolina’s first goal came from Evan Rodrigues, who now has three goals this season. The Panthers recorded 16 offensive giveaways and scored twice in the third period, with Greer’s goal coming at 17:28 and Reinhart’s empty-netter at the 19:00 mark.
After giving up two goals in the second period, the Panthers’ defense tightened up, keeping the Stars scoreless in the third. Spencer Knight made 23 saves with a 92% save percentage, while the Panthers’ defense added 8 takeaways and 22 hits.