Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Pick & Prediction 12/27/24
Betting on today’s Maple Leafs and Red Wings game? Catch the action at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI, as the Red Wings hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this Atlantic division matchup against the Red Wings. The over/under for the game is set at 5.5 goals.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS DETROIT RED WINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Red Wings +1.5
This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, December 27th.
WHY BET THE DETROIT RED WINGS:
- With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Red Wings (+1.5)
Can the Maple Leafs Live Up to the Hype on the Road?
After a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, the Maple Leafs now stand at 21-12-2. Toronto, as the puck line underdog, failed to cover. The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but both teams combined for just 3.
Toronto fell behind early, giving up a goal at 9:41 in the first period. They tied it up with 52 seconds left in the first, thanks to a goal from William Nylander. The Wild secured the win with a goal at 17:46 in overtime.
Toronto’s offense came up short in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, with Auston Matthews earning his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th. The Leafs took 28 shots on goal but only managed to score once, with Nylander’s goal coming on a power play.
Toronto had 10 giveaways and failed to score after the first period. They were shut out in the second, third, and overtime periods.
On the defensive side, the Maple Leafs will look to bounce back after allowing the game-winning goal 2:14 into overtime in their last game. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves, finishing with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Will the Red Wings Win at Home?
Detroit improved to 13-17-4 with a 2-1 win over the Sabres. The Red Wings, favored by -1.5 goals, failed to cover the puck line. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short.
After giving up a goal in the first period, Detroit responded with two goals in the second. Both of their goals came on the power play, with Dylan Larkin finding the net each time.
After a scoreless first period, the Red Wings found the net twice in the second, both on power plays. Dylan Larkin was responsible for both goals, bringing his season total to 7. He took 4 shots on goal in the game.
Lucas Raymond earned his 10th assist on Larkin’s second goal, while Patrick Kane picked up his 6th assist on the first. The Red Wings took 23 shots on goal but had 15 giveaways.
Defensively, Detroit will look to build on their last game, where they gave up just 1 goal to Buffalo. Cam Talbot made 31 saves with a 96.9% save percentage, and the defense added 4 takeaways, 11 hits, and 16 blocks. The only goal they allowed was a short-handed tally from Alex Tuch at 11:39 in the 1st period.