Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24

At 6:45 PM from Nationals Park in Washington, we have an interleague matchup between the Blue Jays and Nationals. Heading into Friday’s game, the Blue Jays are 15-17, while the Nationals are just below .500 at 15-16. Toronto is starting Yusei Kikuchi, and he is up against Patrick Corbin for the Nationals.

The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Blue Jays are the favorite on the money line at -183. Looking at the Nationals, they have a money line payout of +152. You can catch this one on APLTV.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +152

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, May 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Royals scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Toronto was the -143 favorite at home going into the game.

Chris Bassitt put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out four. However, the Blue Jays couldnjson’t close things out, and the Royals scored another three runs in the 8th to pick up the win. Danny Jansen hit a homer for the Blue Jays but went just /4.

Toronto is 15-17 overall heading into their road matchup vs. the Nationals. The Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. They Blue Jays lost the final two games of their series vs. the Royals and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

As the road team, the Blue Jays are 7-10 this season compared to 8-7 at home. So far, they have been the favorite in 20 games, going 12-8 in those contests. As for their record as the underdog, it is just 3-9 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have a run line record of 8-9, and they are 3-0 against the run line in their last three road games. They are 10-10 against the run line as the favorite and 4-8 as the underdog. Their average run differential on the road is -0.8 runs per game.

The Toronto Blue Jays have played 31 games this season, and 27 of them have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs. The Blue Jays have gone under the total in 19 of those 27 games, including their last two games. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 12-19.

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Kikuchi has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 2.94. Looking at his overall numbers, Kikuchi has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued just 2.14 walks per nine innings compared to 9.62 strikeouts. Kikuchi has turned in three quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. This is the same number of runs they are averaging at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting just .225, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is 15th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been led by Justin Turner, who is batting .298 and has a team-high 15 RBIs.

Daulton Varsho has been the Blue Jays’ top power threat this season, as he is 5th in the league with six homers. However, he is batting just .226. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is also looking to improve his batting average, as he is hitting just .231 this season. He does have three home runs, which is 3rd on the team.

Nationals Records & Stats

The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-0 loss. Washington was the +166 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 2nd inning, as the Rangers scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 6th.

Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Washington’s offense was carried by Carter Kieboom, who went 3/4 with a double.

Washington is set to host the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 15-16, which has them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Braves by six games in the division. So far, they have been good against other NL East teams, putting up a record of 5-2.

At home, the Nationals are just 4-8 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 11-8. As the underdog, Washington is 14-15 this year compared to 1-1 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 4-6, and they dropped their most recent series vs. the Rangers.

Washington has been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 19-12 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 14-5 against the run line. Their average run differential on the season is -0.5 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 1.6 runs per game at home.

Washington’s over/under record for the season is 13-17, and the average O/U line in their games is 9 runs. However, in games where the line has been set at 9 runs, the under is 0-2. The Nationals have had 21 games with an O/U line set below 9 runs, and the under has hit in 67.7% of those games. Washington’s last two games have gone under the total, and their combined run average for the season is 8.2 runs per game.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. Corbin has made six starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with a 6.82 ERA. So far, he has pitched better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.0 compared to 8.88 on the road. Corbin’s last outing came against the Marlins, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Corbin has finished with a no-decision in each of his last two starts.

So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .228, and their team on-base percentage of .305 is also below the league average. Washington’s home run numbers are also below average, as they are 14th in the league in home runs.

CJ Abrams comes into the game with a team-high seven homers, which is 4th in the league, and is batting .283 overall. Nick Senzel has two homers in his last five games and is batting just .229 for the season. Senzel is also 2nd on the team with nine RBIs. Senzel has gone 5/18 in his last five games.