Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/1/24

At 2:10 PM ET, the Blue Jays and Twins will face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-71, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central at 73-62.

Minnesota comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -193, while the Blue Jays are at +162. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and SNET will be televising this one.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Sunday, September 1st.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Toronto cruised to a 15-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring seven of their fifteen runs. As for the Twins, they only had four hits in the game and didn’t score a run.

Jose Berrios started for the Blue Jays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins and took the loss, going just two innings and giving up nine earned runs.

At the plate, Toronto was led by a huge game from Will Wagner, who went 5/6 with a home run. Wagner scored three times and drove in two runs. Spencer Horwitz also had a good game at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 67-71 overall, which has them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 13 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 20-26 against other teams in the AL East. The Blue Jays are looking to get back to .500 today, and they are 7-3 over their last ten games.

At home, the Blue Jays are 34-33 this year, and they are just below .500 at 33-38 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 41-27 this year, and they are 26-44 as the underdog. They have struggled as the road underdog, going 20-31 this year. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 16-21-6, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Twins.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 45-26. Their average run differential in those games is -0.1. The Blue Jays have been a better bet to cover the run line as the underdog, going 39-31. Their average run differential in those games is -0.4.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their season-long average of 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Toronto games this season is 73-62, with their games averaging 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-19, and 20.3% of their games have had higher lines than that.

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 1-6 with a 4.82 ERA. Opponents are batting .229 this season off Rodríguez, and he has a WHIP of 1.36. This year, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodríguez took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Over the past nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 14/34 (.412) with six runs and six RBIs. He is also 9th in the league with 27 homers and has driven in 89 runs, which is also 9th in the MLB. George Springer has 19 homers this season but is batting just .216 for the Blue Jays.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in batting average and have the 10th on-base percentage in the league. The Blue Jays lineup is 8th in walks and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 73-62 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins trail the Blue Jays by a half-game for the second Wild Card spot in the AL. So far, they have gone 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central.

At home, the Twins are 38-30 this year, and they have gone 35-32 on the road. This season, the Twins have really excelled as the favorite, going 57-36, but they are just 16-26 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-16-3, but they have dropped three straight series.

When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they have a run line record of 65-70 this season. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 36-31, compared to 29-39 at home. As the favorite, they are just 43-50 on the run line, while they are 22-20 as the underdog.

The Minnesota Twins are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. The Twins have played 21 games this season with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 21-21. Overall, the over/under record for the Twins this season is 69-62.

Twins starter Bailey Ober has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 12-6. His ERA for the season is 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.03. Opposing batters are hitting .213 off the right-hander this year. Ober has turned in 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up nine earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Ober has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in batting average and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. Minnesota also comes into the game with a collective isolated power (ISO) of .173, which is 6th in the league.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are the Twins’ top home run hitters this season, but both players are batting under .240. Jeffers has gone deep 20 times, while Santana has 18 homers. Willi Castro is batting .255 for the season and has gone 6/20 in his last six games. During this stretch, he has one home run and three RBIs.