Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24

First pitch for Monday’s matchup between the Blue Jays and Orioles is set for 3:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -191, while the Blue Jays have a money line payout of +158. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

Toronto will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak, and they are 49-56 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East. As for the Orioles, they are 62-43 and in 1st place in the AL East. Zach Eflin will start for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays are sending Yariel Rodriguez to the mound. SNET will be televising this game.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 3:05 ET on Monday, July 29th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Blue Jays Records & Stats

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Rangers in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with three runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

José Berríos put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Toronto’s offense was carried by Daulton Varsho, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Toronto is 49-56 overall and 13 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. They are also 5th in the division and trail the Rays by 4.5 games for the 4th spot in the division. The Blue Jays are heading into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 23-28 this season compared to 26-28 at home. Toronto has an overall series record of 12-16-5 this year, and they won their most recent series vs. the Rangers. So far, they are 33-24 as the favorite and 16-32 as the underdog. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 12-21 on the road this year.

When betting the run line on the Blue Jays, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 32-19. Their average run differential is -0.7, but they have a better run line record as the underdog (26-22) than as the favorite (24-33). They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.

The Blue Jays have been playing in high-scoring games recently, with their last five games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-46. Despite the high-scoring trend, the over/under line for today’s game is set at just 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8 runs per game.

Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.69. Opposing batters have hit .204 this season off Rodríguez, and he has a WHIP of 1.26. In his last outing, Rodríguez finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up a run. So far, he has made two quality starts this year.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.2 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and are 20th in home runs. Toronto’s offense does have a few players who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 9/19 with three homers in his last six games, while Justin Turner is 13/23 in that stretch.

Guerrero Jr. is not only leading the Blue Jays with 19 homers, but his 64 RBIs is also the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are 2nd in homers for the Blue Jays, but Springer is batting just .227 for the season, and Varsho is at .202. Springer does have 40 RBIs, which is 3rd on the team.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Padres with an 8-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -138 on the money line. It was a six-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Padres could only score three runs, all of which came in the 5th.

Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles, going 4 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also contributed at the plate, going 2/3 with three RBIs. The Orioles really broke things open with a six-run 3rd inning, and Ryan Mountcastle’s bases-loaded double was the big hit of the inning. The Orioles also scored another two runs in the 8th to pick up the win.

With a record of 62-43, the Orioles lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. Baltimore will host the Blue Jays today with an overall division record of 20-9. The Orioles lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Padres.

So far, the Orioles have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 31-24 at home and 31-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 50-34 this year, and they are 12-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 21-10-2 but have dropped two straight series.

When betting the run line this season, the Orioles have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 30-20 on the run line away from Camden Yards compared to 26-29 at home. Their average run margin on the road is 1.2 runs per game, while it’s 0.4 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 15-6 compared to 41-43 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs per game, while it’s -3.5 runs per game in losing games.

The Orioles are at home today, and the over/under line for their game against the Blue Jays is set at 9 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-39. When the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-11-3. The over has hit in their last six games.

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.09. So far this year, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .260 off the right-hander. Eflin has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Eflin has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in runs per game (5 RPG). Overall, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the league, and have the best isolated power rating in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .449 is also the best in the league.

Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as they have 28 and 29 homers, respectively. Santander has gone 5/37 in his last nine games, including five homers, while Colton Cowser is also swinging a hot bat, going 12/33 in his last nine games.