Toledo Rockets vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/29/24
The Rockets and Boilermakers are set to face off at 6:00 ET on BTN. The Boilermakers will host the game at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Purdue as the -20.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 155.5 points.
TOLEDO ROCKETS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toledo Rockets +20.5
This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 6:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE TOLEDO ROCKETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Boilermakers.
- Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Toledo at +20.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Will Toledo Win on the Road?
Toledo Rockets Recent Game/Games
Toledo’s season record dropped to 5-5 after a 78-49 loss to Houston on Wednesday. The Rockets were +30 point underdogs going into the game and managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 127, falling short of the 141.5 O/U line.
Toledo trailed 39-22 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 27 points while allowing 39. They’ll look to bounce back in their next game.
Toledo’s offense struggled mightily in their last game, putting up just 49 points while shooting 29.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 33.3%, and they hit only 27.8% from three-point range, connecting on 5 of 18 attempts.
Terrance Arceneaux was a bright spot, shooting 58.3% overall and grabbing 9 rebounds. Joseph Tugler was efficient as well, hitting 5 of 6 shots and scoring 13 points in just 16 minutes.
Despite Toledo’s defense giving up 78 points, they held their opponent to just 16% shooting from beyond the arc, with only 4 made threes on 24 attempts. However, the Rockets struggled to contain the two-point shooting, allowing 26 baskets on 43 attempts, a 60% conversion rate.
Toledo sent their opponent to the free-throw line 19 times, where they knocked down 14 free throws, shooting 73%. The Rockets also allowed 16 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will the Boilermakers Come Through as Home Favorites?
Purdue dropped to 8-4 on the season after an 87-69 home loss to Auburn on Saturday. The Boilermakers were +10.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 156, surpassing the O/U line of 148.5.
Purdue found themselves in a 41-26 hole at halftime. While they managed to score 43 points in the 2nd half, they couldn’t slow down Auburn, who put up 46 points after the break.
Purdue’s offense managed 69 points in their last game, shooting 39% from the field and 34.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage stood at 45.8%, with a 41.7% success rate on two-point attempts.
Johni Broome led the way with 23 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 66.7% overall. Tahaad Pettiford contributed 18 points and 5 assists, while C.J. Cox hit 3 of 5 threes, finishing with 16 points.
Despite Purdue’s defensive efforts, they gave up 87 points in their last game. They held their opponent to 39% shooting overall, with 23 made field goals on 59 attempts.
From two-point range, Purdue’s opponent shot 41%, hitting 15 of 36 shots. They also connected on 8 of 23 three-point attempts, good for 34%. At the free-throw line, Purdue’s opponent went 15 for 23, a 65% rate. Purdue also allowed 14 offensive rebounds.