Toledo Rockets vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
This week three non-conference matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Mississippi State Bulldogs is set for Saturday, September 14th, at 7:30 ET. Mississippi State is the -11.5 point favorite at home in Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The game can be seen on ESNU, and the over/under line is currently 59.5 points. Toledo enters the game 2-0, while Mississippi State is 1-1 on the season.
TOLEDO ROCKETS VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toledo Rockets +11.5
This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
WHY BET THE TOLEDO ROCKETS:
- We have the Mississippi State Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 36 to 28
- Even though we like the Mississippi State Bulldogs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Toledo Rockets at +11.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 59.5 points
Will The Toledo Rockets Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Toledo improved to 2-0 on the season after a 38-23 win over UMass. The Rockets were -17.5 point favorites but ended up failing to cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 51.5 points, and the game’s combined score of 61 points surpassed this total.
After taking an early 7-0 lead, Toledo found themselves trailing 17-13 at halftime. The Rockets outscored UMass 7-3 in the third quarter and then exploded for 14 points in the fourth quarter while holding UMass to just 7 points to secure the win.
Quarterback Tucker Gleason led Toledo’s offense in their 38-23 win, throwing for 175 yards and three touchdowns. His passer rating for the game was 102.36, and his leading receiver was Junior Vandeross III, who caught three passes for 115 yards and a touchdown.
Toledo’s offense totaled 267 yards, with 92 yards coming on the ground. Gleason also contributed 34 yards rushing, the most on the team, on three carries.
Looking at Toledo’s defensive performance in their 38-23 win over UMass, they allowed 384 total yards. UMass found success through the air, throwing for 259 yards and a touchdown on 26 completions. Toledo’s secondary did come up with an interception. On the ground, the Rockets gave up 125 yards and one rushing touchdown.
Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after a 30-23 road loss to Arizona State. The Bulldogs, who were +6 point underdogs, not only fell short of the upset but also failed to cover the spread. This game’s over/under was set at 58 points, but the teams combined for just 53 points, resulting in an under. Mississippi State is now 1-1 for the season.
After falling behind 10-0 in the first quarter, the Bulldogs were outscored 17-3 in the second quarter, putting them at a 27-3 deficit at halftime. Mississippi State managed to outscore Arizona State 7-3 in the third quarter and added 13 unanswered points in the fourth, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Mississippi State’s offense put up 298 yards in their 30-23 loss to Arizona State, with 268 of those yards coming through the air. Blake Shapen completed 64.3% of his passes for 268 yards, throwing two touchdowns and finishing with a passer rating of 119.35. Kevin Coleman Jr. was the top receiver, hauling in four catches for 103 yards.
The Bulldogs managed to convert 18 first downs but struggled to establish the run, finishing with just 30 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Keyvone Lee led the ground game with 35 yards on nine carries and scored one of Mississippi State’s two touchdowns through the air.
Mississippi State’s defense will be looking to bounce back after giving up 359 rushing yards and 428 total yards in their last game. Arizona State’s ground game was particularly effective, averaging 6.6 yards per carry and finding the end zone twice. The Bulldogs also struggled to get off the field, allowing 26 first downs. However, they were more successful against the pass, limiting Arizona State to just 69 yards through the air on 10 completions.