Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

Planning on watching today’s Red Raiders and Commodores game? Catch the action at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX, as the Commodores hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Red Raiders come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 140.5 points.
TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS VS VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +8
This game will be played at Dickies Arena at 7:30 ET on Saturday, December 16th.
WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Commodores.
- Not only will Vanderbilt pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Will Texas Tech Win on the Road?
The Red Raiders have a 7-2 record, but they recently lost to Butler by a score of 103-95. In their last 10 road games, including last year, Texas Tech has a 4-6 record. In terms of their ATS performance, Texas Tech is sitting below the .500 mark with a 2-5 ATS record. When playing away from home, the Red Raiders have gone 1-3 vs. the spread, while they are 1-2 ATS at home.
Up to this point, games involving Texas Tech have had an average of 139.7 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 134.9 points. Their over/under record is 3-4-0. The Red Raiders’ last five games have finished with a combined 153 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.
Texas Tech’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Butler, finishing the game with a total of 95 points. Their season average is now 75.6 points per game. The top scorer for the Red Raiders was Chance McMillian with 24 points, while Pop Isaacs also chipped in with 18 points.
In the current season, the Texas Tech defense has excelled, sitting 77th in the nation by allowing 66.8 points per game. Texas Tech’s three-point defense is currently 135th in the country at 8.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.8% of their shots vs. Texas Tech.
Will Vanderbilt Make it Happen at Home?
Vanderbilt heads into their 10th game of the season with a 4-5 record. Over their previous ten home games, including last year, Vanderbilt has gone 5-5. As of today’s game, Vanderbilt’s against the spread record stands at 3-5. Over their last five games, they have gone 2-3 vs. the spread.
Vanderbilt’s games have, on average, featured 143.9 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-5-0. Their average over/under line is currently 141.8 points so far. Over the course of the last five games, the Commodores’ games have averaged 144 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-3.
The Vanderbilt offense is coming off a game where they scored 78 points against Alabama A&M. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.4% and connected on 8 threes. One area that the Vanderbilt offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 37th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 40%.
Currently, the Commodores’ defense holds the 163rd rank in the nation, allowing 72.7 points per game. Vanderbilt’s three-point defense is currently 133rd in the country at 8.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.7% of their shots vs. Vanderbilt.