Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction AutoZone Liberty Bowl

This article was published on Dec 9, 2024. Today’s picks College Football picks

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction AutoZone Liberty Bowl

ESPN is handling the television broadcast as the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Arkansas Razorbacks face off in a non-conference matchup at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET on Friday, December 27th. The game is being played at a neutral site for the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. The over/under line is at 59.5 points, and the Razorbacks are the -2.5 point favorites. The money line odds are +110 for Texas Tech and -130 for Arkansas.

TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS VS ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -2.5

This game will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium at 7:00 ET on Friday, December 27th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS:

  • We have the Arkansas Razorbacks winning this one by a score of 34 to 27
  • Not only do we have the Arkansas Razorbacks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -2.5
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 59.5 points

Can The Texas Tech Red Raiders Pick Up A Win At Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium?

Texas Tech enters Week 1 against Arkansas with an 8-4 record. They’ve gone 4-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season. The Red Raiders have been favored in seven of their 12 games, posting a 5-2 record as the favorite.

Against the spread, Texas Tech is 7-3-1, with a 4-1 mark on the road. Their average scoring margin is +4.1 points per game, and they’ve gone 4-2-1 ATS as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 59.5 points. Texas Tech’s games have averaged 73.1 points, with an average line of 62.1 points. Their over/under record is 7-4, with games typically exceeding the line by 8.3 points.

Texas Tech’s offense ranks 5th in points per game, averaging 38.6, and they are 9th in third-down conversion rate, converting 49% of their attempts. They are 3rd in passing attempts per game, with 41.8, and 5th in completions, averaging 26.3 per game. They are 12th in passing yards, with 298.3 yards per game. Heading into week 1, we have them ranked 47th in our offensive power rankings.

Behren Morton leads the Red Raiders with 3,300 passing yards and a 63.3% completion rate. He has thrown 27 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, with a passer rating of 96. Tahj Brooks has rushed for 1,505 yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Josh Kelly has 89 receptions for 1,023 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 34.5 points per game, ranking 92nd nationally. Opponents have averaged 306.2 passing yards per game against them, completing 63.7% of their passes, and posting a 93.5 passer rating.

In their latest game, Texas Tech gave up just 15 points but allowed 423 total yards, including 265 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the win.

Can The Arkansas Razorbacks Take Care Of Business On A Neutral Field?

Arkansas enters Week 13 with a 6-6 record, going 3-3 at home and 2-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in three games, winning all three, and are 3-0 as the favorite. As the underdog, they’ve gone 2-5. The Razorbacks have a +5.3 average scoring margin this season.

Against the spread, Arkansas is 5-5. They are 2-4 ATS at home and 3-1 on the road. As the favorite, they’ve gone 1-2 ATS, while they are 4-3 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 59.5 points. Arkansas games have averaged 55.2 points, with their over/under record at 4-6. They’ve had two games with higher lines than this week’s, and their average line this season is 55.1 points.

Heading into week 1, Arkansas ranks 39th in points per game, averaging 30.2, and sits 43rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in passing yards, with 269.1 per game, and are 41st in passing attempts.

Taylen Green leads the team with 2,812 passing yards, completing 60.8% of his throws. He has 13 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passer rating of 86. Ja’Quinden Jackson has rushed for 790 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong has 1,140 receiving yards on 78 catches but just one touchdown.

Arkansas’ defense allowed 28 points in their recent 28-21 loss to Missouri, giving up 361 total yards. They surrendered 193 rushing yards on 47 attempts and 168 passing yards, though they didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.

On the season, Arkansas ranks 47th nationally, allowing 24.9 points per game. They’ve given up 124 rushing yards per game (44th) and 244.2 passing yards per game, ranking 133rd in the country.