Texas State Bobcats vs Texas Longhorns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/23

Betting on today’s Bobcats and Longhorns game? Catch the action at Moody Center in Austin, TX, as the Longhorns hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on LHN. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Longhorns as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 138.5 points.
TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +19
This game will be played at Moody Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, November 30th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Longhorns.
- Even though we have Texas winning straight-up, we like Texas State at +19.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Does Texas State Have What it Takes on the Road?
Heading into their 8th game of the season, Texas State has a 3-4 overall record. The Bobcats are 2-2 on the road and 1-2 at home. Against the spread, Texas State has a current record of 3-4. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 ATS.
Texas State comes in with an over/under record of 4-3-0 through seven games, with their games averaging a combined 135 points per game so far. The Bobcats’ have recorded an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 128 points per game.
Coming off their recent game, the Texas State offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against UT Arlington. Their field goal percentage for the game was 45.5%, and they made 3 threes. In terms of offense, the Bobcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 40%, putting them 360th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 390th in percentage and 370th in three-pointers made.
At present, the Bobcats’ defense is nationally ranked 108th, allowing 70.0 points per game. Against UT Arlington in their most recent game, the Texas State defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing UT Arlington to hit 43% of their shots.
Can The Longhorns Secure a Home Victory?
In today’s game against Texas State, the Texas team has a 5-1 record this season. Looking back at their previous ten home games, including last year, Texas has a 4-6 record at home. Texas is currently sitting below .500 in terms of their ATS record, which stands at 2-4. Over their last five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.
Texas comes in with an over/under record of 4-2-0 through six games, with their games averaging a combined 149.2 points per game so far. When analyzing the Longhorns’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 146 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.
Coming off a good offensive performance, Texas’ offense scored 86 points against Wyoming. Their field goal percentage for the game was 55.7%, and they went 12/13 from the free-throw line. Max Abmas is leading the team in scoring at 15.2 points per contest. Ithiel Horton has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.7 going into the game.
This season, the Texas defense has been impressive, holding the 77th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. Texas’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Wyoming offense to knock down 55% of their shots on their way to putting up 63 points.