Texas State Bobcats vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

The Bobcats and Warhawks are set to face off at 3:30 ET on ESPN+. The Warhawks will host the game at Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA. The Bobcats are favored in this Sun Belt conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 131.5 points.
TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +3.5
This game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Warhawks.
- Not only will Louisiana-Monroe pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can Texas State Stun the Crowd at Fant-Ewing Coliseum?
After losing their fifth straight game, Texas State is looking to get back on track when they take on Louisiana-Monroe. So far, the Bobcats have gone 6-10 on the season, including a 0-4 mark in Sun Belt Conference play.
On the road, Texas State has gone 3-6, and they come into this game with an average scoring margin of -9.8 points per game. In their last 10 road games, the Bobcats have gone 3-7.
As the favorite, Texas State has gone just 2-3 against the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 6-8. On the road, the Bobcats are 5-4 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Texas State games is 6-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 137.4, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 137.8. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 151 points.
In their latest game, Texas State’s offense looked good, scoring 82 points against Arkansas State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 12/16 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Brandon Love, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 11.8, while Dylan Dawson also carries a PPG average of 9.8 into the game.
On the defensive side, Texas State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.4 points per game. Against Arkansas State in their most recent game, the Texas State defense gave up a total of 85 points while allowing Arkansas State to hit 58% of their shots.
Is a Home Win Possible for Louisiana-Monroe?
With a record of 4-10, Louisiana-Monroe has lost seven straight games, including their most recent game against Southern Miss by a score of 71-58. The Warhawks are 0-4 in Sun Belt Conference play and 1-4 at home this season. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 3-7.
On the season, the Warhawks have been the underdog in nine of their 14 games, going 1-8 in those contests. As the underdog, they have an average scoring margin of -7.6 points per game.
As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 4-5 against the spread and their overall ATS record for the year is 4-8. At home, the Warhawks are 0-5 vs. the spread and their last 10 home games vs. the spread is 1-7. Over their last three games as the underdog, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS.
So far this year, the over/under record in Louisiana-Monroe games is 5-7. The average scoring total in their games is 134.6 points, which is 4.7 points lower than the average over/under line of 139.3. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 132 points.
Against Southern Miss, the Louisiana-Monroe had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 67.9 points per game. They scored 58 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.7% in the game. Leading the team in scoring was Nika Metskhvarishvili with 14 points. Jalen Bolden also added 13 points for the Warhawks.
The Warhawks’ defense is presently ranked 189th nationally, allowing an average of 72.5 points per contest. In today’s game, the Louisiana-Monroe defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 71 points.