Texas Southern Tigers vs Xavier Musketeers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24
Betting on today’s Tigers and Musketeers game? Catch the action at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH, as the Musketeers hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on FS1. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Xavier as the -22.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 150.5 points.
TEXAS SOUTHERN TIGERS VS XAVIER MUSKETEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas Southern Tigers +22.5
This game will be played at Cintas Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, November 4th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS SOUTHERN TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Musketeers.
- Even though we have Xavier winning straight-up, we like Texas Southern at +22.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Will Texas Southern Win on the Road?
Texas Southern Tigers Records
Texas Southern finished last season with a 15-16 overall record, including a 14-7 mark in SWAC play. At home, they were 9-5, with an average scoring margin of +4.9 points per game. On the road, they went 6-11, with a -7.2 average scoring margin.
Against the spread, the Tigers were 16-15, with an 8-9 road record and an 8-6 home mark. They were favored in 17 games, going 12-5 straight-up and 10-7 ATS. Their over/under record was 14-17, with their games averaging 139.6 points per game.
Texas Southern averaged 70.2 points per game last season, ranking 323rd in possessions per game with 64.1. They struggled with shooting, finishing 360th in field goal percentage (41%) and 353rd in effective field goal percentage (47%). Their two-point percentage was 47%, placing 322nd nationally.
The Tigers made 7.3 three-pointers per game, ranking 196th, but shot just 31% from beyond the arc, placing 347th. They attempted 23.2 threes per game, ranking 122nd. Grayson Carter and Jaylen Wysinger return, having averaged 7.1 and 6 points per game, respectively, last season.
Texas Southern allowed 70.8 points per game last season, ranking 129th in the nation. They were effective at defending the three-point line, holding opponents to 30.1% shooting, which ranked 100th. However, they struggled with fouls, allowing 22.2 free throws per game, ranking 301st in the country.
In terms of creating turnovers, the Tigers averaged 6.9 steals per game, ranking 145th nationally. They also averaged 3.8 blocked shots per game, ranking 116th.
Can the Musketeers Pull Off a Home Win?
Xavier Musketeers Records
Last season, Xavier finished with a 16-17 overall record, including a 10-12 mark in Big East play. At home, they posted an 11-7 record with an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game. On the road, they went 5-10, losing by an average of 5.7 points per game.
Against the spread, Xavier went 15-17, and they were 16-17 in over/unders, with their games averaging 150.4 points. As the favorite, they were 14-4 straight-up and 10-7 ATS, but they struggled as the underdog, going 2-13 straight-up and 5-10 ATS.
Xavier averaged 75.8 points per game last season, ranking 118th in possessions per game with 69.3. They struggled with shooting efficiency, finishing 274th in field goal percentage at 43% and 310th in effective field goal percentage at 49%. Their two-point shooting was also a concern, ranking 315th at 48%.
The Musketeers made 6.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 34% from beyond the arc, which ranked 175th. They attempted 19.9 threes per game, placing 266th. Xavier was more successful at the free-throw line, making 14.8 free throws per game, ranking 116th. This season, they return guards Ryan Conwell and Dante Maddox Jr., who averaged 16.2 and 15.6 points per game, respectively, last year.
Last season, Xavier allowed 74.5 points per game, ranking 244th in the nation. Opponents shot 32.7% from three-point range against them, placing Xavier 255th in that category. They also gave up 18.5 free throws per game, ranking 182nd.
In terms of creating turnovers, Xavier averaged 7 steals per game, ranking 126th nationally. They also blocked 3.3 shots per game, placing them 183rd in the country.