Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

It’s an AL West showdown at Minute Maid Park tonight as the Astros host the Rangers. First pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET. The pitching matchup features Dane Dunning for Texas against J.P. France for Houston.

Looking at the odds, the Astros are favored at -135 on the money line, while the Rangers are at +113. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over paying out at -104 compared to the under at -118.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -135

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, April 12th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rangers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Rangers Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Rangers closed out the series with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the heavy favorite at -207. Offensively, the Rangers only had one fewer hit than the Athletics but didn’t score a run. Their lone bright spot was a double by Adolis Garcia.

Jon Gray got the start for the Rangers and took the loss. He only gave up one run, but it was enough to get the loss. Gray also issued a walk and hit a batter. He was replaced by Joe Barlow in the 8th inning.

After dropping two of three to the Athletics, the Rangers are looking to get back on track as they head to Houston to take on the Astros. Texas is just 2-1 on the road this season, but they have been solid overall, going 7-6 and are currently in first place in the AL West.

Overall, the Rangers have been good as underdogs, going 4-1, including 2-1 on the road. They have also been solid in series this season, going 2-0-1.

When the Texas Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.1. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.7. Their overall run line record is 6-7, with a 4-6 mark at home and 2-1 on the road. They are 4-1 against the run line as an underdog and 2-6 as a favorite. They have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.

Despite the Texas Rangers having a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, the under has hit in three straight games for the Rangers. The over/under line for today’s game against the Houston Astros is set at 9.5 runs, and the Rangers’ over/under record this season is 5-8. The average over/under line for Texas games this season has been 9 runs per game. So far this season, 30.8% of the Rangers’ games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Dane Dunning and the Rangers are on the road to take on the Astros. Dunning is coming off of a win in his first start of the season, where he went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 7. In his last start, he took the loss against the Astros, giving up 3 earned runs and 1 home run.

For the Rangers, we have Corey Seager with the best chance to get a hit, as he has the 15th best hits projection in the league today. Adolis García is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but he has the best odds to hit a home run on the team and in the entire league today. Marcus Semien is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 10th best in the league today.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 13-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -133 on the money line. Things really got away from the Astros in the 1st inning, as the Royals scored nine runs in the inning. Houston’s offense scored their only three runs in the 4th.

Hunter Brown got the start for the Astros and took the loss. He only lasted two-thirds of an inning, giving up nine earned runs. Offensively, the Astros had 11 hits but only scored three runs. Yainer Diaz had a homer and scored one run. Jose Altuve went 3/4 with a double and an RBI.

After dropping three straight games to the Royals, the Astros will return home to face the Rangers. Houston is currently in last place in the AL West, trailing the Rangers by 3.5 games. They are just 2-5 at home and 2-5 on the road this season.

Overall, the Astros are just 4-10 and have lost five straight games when they are favored. They are 2-0 as an underdog this season.

When the Astros are favored, they are a good bet to lose against the run line, as they are just 2-10 on the season. Their average run differential is -1.4 per game, but when they are the favorite, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game.

When the Astros have played games with an over/under line of 9.5 this season, the over/under record is 1-1. The combined run average for their games is 9.2, and the over/under record for the season is 5-8. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rangers is 9.5, which is slightly higher than their season average of 9.0. The over has hit in two straight games for the Astros, and their games have gone over the total in 57.1% of their games this season.

J.P. France will be making his second start of the season for the Astros, and this time he will be at home against the Rangers. In his first start of the season, France took a loss against the Rangers, giving up 3 earned runs over 5 2/3 innings. He did strike out 4 batters but also gave up 2 home runs in that outing.

Looking at the Astros’ player prop projections for today, we see that Jose Altuve has the highest total hits projection on the team, and his total hits projection is 14th best in the league today. Yordan Alvarez has the top home run projection on the team and is 6th best in the league in terms of home run projections. José Abreu, who has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the team, has the 11th best home run projection in the league today.