Texas Longhorns vs West Virginia Mountaineers Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Longhorns versus the Mountaineers? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at WVU Coliseum in Morgantown, WV. The Longhorns are the favored team in this Big 12 conference contest against the Mountaineers. The game’s over/under currently sits at 146 points.
TEXAS LONGHORNS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +6
This game will be played at WVU Coliseum at 6:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mountaineers.
- Not only will West Virginia pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will the Longhorns Win in Morgantown?
Despite being on the road, the Longhorns are favored by 6 points, and they have gone 11-1 as the favorite this season. Overall, Texas is 12-3, including a 1-1 mark in Big 12 play.
So far, the Longhorns have been much better at home, going 10-2 compared to 2-1 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +16.8, while it is -6.3 on the road.
As the favorite this season, Texas has gone just 4-8 against the spread. Over their last three games as the favorite, the Longhorns have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. On the road this year, Texas is 1-2 ATS and over their last three road games, they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. Overall, the Longhorns have an ATS mark of just 5-10 this season.
So far this season, the over/under record for Texas games is 7-8 and today’s line of 146 is very close to their season average over/under line of 147. The average scoring total in their games this year is 143.8 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 144 points.
The Texas offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Cincinnati. Overall their field goal percentage was 50.9% while connecting on 7 threes. Offensively, the Longhorns hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 53rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 117th in terms of percentage and 206th in three-pointers made.
In the current season, the Texas defense has excelled, sitting 62nd in the nation by allowing 65.8 points per game. So far, the Texas defense is giving up an average of 7.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.7 times per game (533rd).
Will the Mountaineers Win at WVU Coliseum?
West Virginia enters this game as a 6-point underdog, and they have gone 0-7 as the underdog this season. They are also currently on a three-game losing streak and have an overall record of 5-10.
At home this season, the Mountaineers have gone 5-8, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone just 3-7. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -2.2 points per game.
West Virginia’s ATS record this season is currently 6-9. At home, they are 5-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mountaineers have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for West Virginia games is 8-7. On average, their games have finished with 138.9 points compared to an average over/under line of 138.7, resulting in a marginal difference of 0.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 146 is higher than the average scoring total of their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and their games have averaged 147 points.
In their most recent game, the Mountaineers’ offense tallied 67 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 67.3 points per game. One area that the West Virginia offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 138th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 40%.
In terms of defense, West Virginia is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.6 points per game. West Virginia will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Kansas State to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.