Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 1/16/24

The Aggies and Razorbacks are set to face off at 9:00 ET on SECN. The Razorbacks will host the game at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, AR. The Aggies are the favored team in this Southeastern conference contest against the Razorbacks. The game’s over/under currently sits at 146.5 points.

TEXAS A&M AGGIES VS ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks +3

This game will be played at Bud Walton Arena at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Razorbacks.
• Not only will Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Aggies Have What it Takes in Fayetteville?

After a 97-92 win over Kentucky, Texas A&M is 10-6 overall and 1-2 in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, the Aggies have gone 3-3 this season, and they are 8-3 when favored.

So far, Texas A&M has a scoring differential of -1.0 on the road. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Aggies have gone 5-5.

When looking at Texas A&M’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at .500 with an 8-8 mark. On the road, the Aggies are 3-3 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 favorite ATS record is 4-6.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in Texas A&M’s games this season (143). So far, the over/under record in their games is 9-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, which is right in line with the average over/under line in their games this season. Currently, their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

In their latest game, Texas A&M offense put up 97 points against Kentucky. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40.2% and made 12 threes. Wade Taylor IV is leading the team in scoring at 18.2 points per contest. Henry Coleman III has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.9 going into the game.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 92nd in the country at 68.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Texas A&M defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Kentucky knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 92 points.

Can the Razorbacks Pull the Upset at Home?

Arkansas enters this game as a 3-point underdog, and they have gone 1-6 as the underdog this season. The Razorbacks are 9-7 overall, and they have lost three straight games, all of which have come in Southeastern Conference play.

At home this season, Arkansas is 9-2, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.7 points per game, and their scoring margin on the road is -12.2 points per game.

Arkansas has struggled against the spread this season, going just 4-12. They have been especially bad vs. the spread as the underdog, posting a 1-6 record. At home, the Razorbacks are 4-7 ATS this year and just 3-7 over their last 10 games in Fayetteville.

Arkansas’ over/under record for the season is 11-5 and today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (150.7). Over their last three games, their games have finished with an average of 144 points compared to their season average of 156.1 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 78.4 points per game, Arkansas struggled in their previous game. Against Florida, the Razorbacks scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.7%. The team’s top scorer is Tramon Mark, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while Khalif Battle also carries a PPG average of 12.1 into the game.

Coming into the game, Arkansas will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 77.6 points per game (266th). Against Florida in their most recent game, the Arkansas defense gave up a total of 90 points while allowing Florida to hit 49% of their shots.