TCU Horned Frogs vs UCF Knights NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/25/25

Planning on watching today’s Horned Frogs and Knights game? Catch the action at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL, as the Knights hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 148.5 points, with UCF being favored by -3.5 at home against TCU.
TCU HORNED FROGS VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCF Knights -3.5
This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 25th.
WHY BET THE UCF KNIGHTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Knights.
- Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Will TCU Find a Way to Win on the Road?
TCU fell to 10-8 on the season after a 74-61 home loss to Kansas on Wednesday. The Horned Frogs entered the game as +7 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 135, just under the 135.5 O/U line.
TCU led 35-33 at halftime but struggled in the 2nd half, scoring only 26 points while allowing 41 to the Jayhawks.
TCU struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.9% from the field and 20.8% from three-point range, hitting only 5 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.4%, and they connected on just 6 of 12 free throws.
Hunter Dickinson led the team with 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 70% from the field. Noah Reynolds added 14 points, while Vasean Allette and Zeke Mayo each contributed 13 points. Shakeel Moore hit 3 of 4 from beyond the arc, finishing with 11 points.
Even though TCU allowed 74 points, their defense held their opponent to just 37% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs limited the damage from beyond the arc, where their opponent shot only 5/24 for 20%.
TCU sent their opponent to the free-throw line 12 times, where they made 6 free throws. The Horned Frogs gave up 16 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will the Knights Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
UCF Knights Recent Game/Games
UCF’s season record dropped to 12-6 after a 108-83 loss to Iowa State on Tuesday. The Knights, who were +16 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread in this road game.
UCF trailed 54-36 at halftime and gave up 54 points in the second half while scoring 47. The game’s total points reached 191, surpassing the over/under line of 154.5.
UCF put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 42.9% from the field and 45.8% from three-point range, hitting 11 of 24 attempts from deep. Their effective field goal percentage was 50.8%, and they connected on 78.3% of their free throws, going 18 for 23 from the line.
Joshua Jefferson led the way with 30 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 64.3% overall and 75% from three. Jordan Ivy-Curry added 24 points, hitting 6 of 9 from beyond the arc, while Keshon Gilbert contributed 21 points and 8 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field.
UCF’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 108 points on 56% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 63% of their two-point attempts, as the other team went 31/49 from inside the arc.
From three-point range, UCF’s opponent shot 40%, making 9 of 22 attempts. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 19 free throws for 76%. UCF allowed 15 offensive rebounds as well.