TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24

TCU is favored by -2.5 points as they head into this week four non-conference matchup against the SMU Mustangs. The game is set for 5:00 ET at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, and the over/under line is at 57.5 points. The money line odds are -137 for TCU and +114 for SMU. Both teams are 2-1 on the season, and you can catch the action on CW.

TCU HORNED FROGS VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: SMU Mustangs +2.5

This game will be played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, September 21st.

WHY BET THE SMU MUSTANGS:

• We have the SMU Mustangs winning this one by a score of 33 to 31
• Not only do we have the SMU Mustangs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 57.5 points

Will The TCU Horned Frogs Pick Up A Win On The Road?

After a narrow 35-34 loss to UCF, TCU is now 2-1 for the season. The Horned Frogs were favored by -2.5 points but ended up losing by a single point, resulting in a loss against the spread. The game’s over/under line was 61.5 points, but the teams combined for 69 points, hitting the over.

TCU got off to a strong start, taking a 14-0 lead in the first quarter. UCF responded to tie the game at 21-21 by halftime. The Knights then outscored TCU 10-13 in the third quarter, and despite the Horned Frogs narrowing the gap to 31-35, they couldn’t complete the comeback.

TCU’s offense, led by quarterback Josh Hoover, put up 464 yards in their 35-34 loss to UCF. Hoover completed 67.3% of his passes for 402 yards and four touchdowns, ending the game with a passer rating of 116.03. Jack Bech was his top target, hauling in nine receptions for 200 yards and a touchdown.

The Horned Frogs’ offense moved the chains 26 times but struggled to establish a run game, finishing with just 62 yards on the ground. Cam Cook led the team in rushing with 35 yards on 11 carries.

TCU’s defense will be looking to improve after giving up 519 total yards and 35 points to UCF. The Horned Frogs struggled to stop the run, allowing 289 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the ground. UCF’s passing game also found success, with 230 yards and three touchdowns through the air on just 13 completions.

Will The SMU Mustangs Win At Home Over The TCU Horned Frogs?

SMU is looking to bounce back after a 18-15 loss to BYU, which ended their perfect start to the season. The Mustangs, who were -12.5 point favorites at home, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. This game’s combined score of 33 points was well below the 56-point over/under line.

SMU led 7-0 after the first quarter, but BYU outscored them 9-0 in the second quarter, giving the Mustangs a 9-7 deficit at halftime. SMU managed to take a 12-9 lead in the third quarter, but BYU outscored them 9-3 in the final quarter to hand SMU their first loss of the season.

SMU’s offense is looking to bounce back after a game in which they managed just 261 total yards and 15 points. The Mustangs’ ground game was limited to 117 yards on 36 carries, while their passing attack added 144 yards. Kevin Jennings completed 46.9% of his passes for 140 yards, with one interception and a passer rating of 46.35.

Brashard Smith was the most effective runner for SMU, gaining 75 yards on 14 carries. Key’Shawn Smith led the receiving corps with four catches for 46 yards.

SMU’s defense will need to tighten up after giving up 475 total yards to BYU in their most recent game. The Mustangs allowed 318 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, while also struggling to contain the BYU ground game, giving up 157 rushing yards. Despite these numbers, SMU’s defense did come up with one interception in the game.