TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/19/25

The Horned Frogs and Bears are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN. The Bears will host the game at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 135.5 points, and Baylor is favored by -12.5 vs. TCU in a Big 12 conference matchup.
TCU HORNED FROGS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +12.5
This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 5:00 ET on Sunday, January 19th.
WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Bears.
- Even though we have Baylor winning straight-up, we like TCU at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Are TCU Ready for a Road Win?
TCU Horned Frogs Recent Game/Games
TCU’s season record dropped to 9-7 after a 73-65 home loss to Utah on Wednesday. The Horned Frogs, who were -4.5 favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread.
TCU trailed 30-26 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap, allowing 43 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39. The total points for the game were 138, falling short of the 143.5 O/U line.
TCU struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.5% from the field and 38.6% on two-point attempts. They hit 35% from beyond the arc, connecting on 7 of 20 attempts. The Horned Frogs also had a tough time at the free-throw line, making only 47.6% of their shots.
Vasean Allette led TCU with 19 points and 9 rebounds, despite shooting 9 of 24 from the field. Gabe Madsen added 17 points, but hit just 2 of 11 from three. Keanu Dawes was efficient, scoring 16 points on 7 of 10 shooting in 23 minutes.
TCU’s defense held their opponent to 73 points on 37% shooting from the field, as they went 24/64 overall. The Horned Frogs limited damage inside, where their opponent shot 38% on two-pointers, making 17 of 44 attempts.
From beyond the arc, TCU’s defense allowed 7 threes on 20 attempts, with their opponent shooting 35% from deep. They also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 21 times, where they converted 10 free throws for 47%. TCU gave up 15 offensive rebounds in the game.
Can the Bears Grab a Win at Home?
Baylor Bears Recent Game/Games
The Bears fell to 10-5 on the season after an 81-70 loss to Arizona on Tuesday. Baylor, who entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs, didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 151, just over the O/U line of 149.5.
After a rough first half where they trailed 42-19, Baylor scored 51 points in the second half while holding Arizona to 39, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Baylor’s offense put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 48.2% from the field. They connected on 58.3% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 30% of their threes (6/20). Their effective field goal percentage was 53.6%, and they made 76.9% of their free throws (10/13).
Henri Veesaar led the way with 19 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 9/11 from the field in just 20 minutes. Robert O. Wright III added 16 points and 4 assists, while VJ Edgecombe contributed 14 points and 7 rebounds. Jaden Bradley and Jeremy Roach each scored 13 points, with Bradley also dishing out 6 assists.
Baylor’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 81 points on 53% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 55% of their two-point attempts, going 22/40 inside the arc.
From three-point range, Baylor’s opponent shot 50%, making 7 of 14 attempts. They also sent them to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 16 free throws for 64%. Baylor gave up 9 offensive rebounds.