Tarleton State Texans vs Baylor Bears NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/17/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Texans and Bears. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Bears at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144 points, and Baylor is favored by -29.5 at home against Tarleton State.
TARLETON STATE TEXANS VS BAYLOR BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baylor Bears -29.5
This game will be played at Foster Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th.
WHY BET THE BAYLOR BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 90-59 in favor of the Bears.
- Not only will Baylor pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -29.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 149 points.
Do the Texans Stand a Chance in Waco?
Tarleton State’s recent game against Florida State didn’t go as planned, as the Texans fell 72-52 on Tuesday, November 12th. Playing on the road, they entered the game as +16.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 124 fell short of the 145-point O/U line.
After trailing 33-28 at halftime, Tarleton State struggled in the second half, managing just 24 points while allowing 39 to the Seminoles.
Tarleton State struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 52 points on 31.1% shooting from the field. They hit only 4 of 15 attempts from beyond the arc, shooting 26.7%, and their effective field goal percentage was 35.6%.
Chris Mpaka led the Texans with 15 points and 11 rebounds, while Bubu Benjamin and Matt Krass each added 11 points. Krass connected on 3 of 5 threes, while Benjamin missed all 3 of his attempts from deep.
Despite Tarleton State’s defensive efforts, they allowed 72 points, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field. The Texans struggled to contain two-point shots, where the opponent converted 64% of their attempts, going 18/28.
From beyond the arc, Tarleton State held the opposition to just 4/21 shooting, a 19% success rate. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 38 times, where they made 24 free throws, shooting 63%. The Texans also gave up 11 offensive rebounds.
Can the Bears Hold Strong at Home?
Baylor Bears Recent Game
The Bears cruised to a 104-67 win over Sam Houston on Tuesday, November 12th. Playing at home, Baylor entered the game as 16-point favorites and covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game reached 171, surpassing the O/U line of 150.5.
Baylor took control early, leading 54-37 at halftime. They continued their strong play in the 2nd half, scoring 50 points while holding Sam Houston to 30.
Baylor’s offense was clicking in their last game, putting up 104 points while shooting 58.6% from the field. They were especially effective inside, hitting 71.1% of their two-point attempts, and their effective field goal percentage was 68.6% overall.
The Bears also connected on 43.8% of their threes, with 14 makes from deep. They dished out 30 assists as a team, with Jayden Nunn and Lamar Wilkerson each scoring 19 points, and VJ Edgecombe contributing 7 assists and 10 rebounds.
Despite Baylor’s defensive efforts, they allowed 67 points, with the opposition shooting 58% from the field. Baylor’s defense struggled to contain two-point shots, as the other team connected on 27 of 38 attempts, a 71% success rate.
The Bears also gave up 14 threes on 32 attempts, with the opponent shooting 43% from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, Baylor sent the other team to the stripe 11 times, where they made 8, shooting 72%. Baylor also allowed 16 offensive rebounds.