Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 6/18/24
There does appear to be a chance of light rain in Minneapolis on Tuesday, where the forecasted temperature is 85 degrees. The Rays and Twins are set to face off at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field. Aaron Civale will start for the Rays, while the Twins are sending Pablo Lopez to the mound.
Minnesota is currently on a five-game winning streak and is 40-32 overall. They are favored on the money line at -162, while the Rays are the slight underdogs at +137. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSUN.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -162
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, June 18th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Rays Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Rays closed out the series with an 8-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +105 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning that really turned things in their favor, as they scored four runs in the inning. The Braves could only score three runs in the 4th and 5th combined.
Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Rays, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by Brandon Lowe, who went 2/3 with a homer and four RBIs.
Tampa Bay is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 15 games. Overall, the Rays are 34-38 as they play on the road vs. the Twins. Tampa Bay is just 10-17 against other teams in the AL East this year.
So far, the Rays have been just below .500 at home, going 19-23. On the road, they are an even 15-15 this season. Tampa Bay lost two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Braves. Heading into today’s game, the Rays are 3-7 over their last 10.
When the Tampa Bay Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. As a result, their overall run line record is 29-43, with a run line record of 16-14 on the road. They are 14-27 against the run line as the favorite and 15-16 as the underdog.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Minnesota Twins. The Rays have an over/under record of 37-33 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Rays have gone 10-9 in those games. Their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs in 43.1% of their games this season, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
The Rays are sending right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. Civale has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 5.20. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a homer. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run. Civale has allowed a homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .265 off Civale this year. He has a BB/9 figure of 2.48 compared to 9.17 strikeouts per nine innings.
Yandy Diaz has been one of the Rays’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .259 overall and going 8/26 in his last six games. However, he is currently on a stretch of 10 games without a home run. Isaac Paredes has been a nice surprise for the Rays so far, as he is batting .281 and leads the team with 10 homers. Paredes also has 38 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team.
As a team, the Rays are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including runs per game (3.9) and home runs (57). They will need to improve on their team batting average of .232 if they are going to turn things around offensively. Tampa Bay’s most recent offensive standout has been Brandon Lowe, who is 5/20 with two homers in his last five games.
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with an 8-7 win. After allowing three runs to the Athletics in the top of the 2nd, the Twins responded with three runs of their own. Minnesota went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.
Josh Staumont picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Twins, and the Twins’s offense was carried by Trevor Larnach, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Minnesota is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 40-32, and they have won five straight games. The Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional matchups.
As the Twins have won five straight games, they closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win. Minnesota is 22-14 at home compared to an 18-18 mark on the road. This season, they have been good as the favorite, going 31-16, and they are 9-16 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 13-8-2, and they have won two straight series.
The Twins are 33-39 against the run line this season, including a 15-21 mark at home. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, and they are 18-18 vs. the run line on the road. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while in losses it’s -3.9.
Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and the over/under record is 32-38. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, the record is 4-10-2. The Twins have had 31 games with higher O/U lines than 8 runs, which is 43.1% of their games. They have had 25 games with lower O/U lines than 8 runs, which is 34.7% of their games.
Pablo López will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rockies. In that start, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he finished with six strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, López has alternated between wins and losses. His overall record is 6-6, and he has an ERA of 5.33. This year, he has made 14 starts, six of which have been quality starts. López’s WHIP for the season is 1.21.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana leading the team with 11 homers and Jeffers right behind him with 12. Jeffers and Santana also come into the game as the team’s top two leaders in RBIs. Willi Castro has been a solid contributor for the Twins, batting .261 with five homers and 18 RBIs.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 6th in the league in home runs. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Twins come into the game with a few players on long hitting streaks, as Carlos Correa and Royce Lewis have both hit safely in eight straight games.