Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/6/24

Planning on watching today’s Lightning and Penguins game? Catch the action at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA, as the Penguins hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ABC. The Lightning are favored by -1.5 in this Eastern conference contest against the Penguins. The game’s over/under currently sits at 6 goals.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS PITTSBURGH PENGUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, April 6th.

WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH PENGUINS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Penguins.
• We like the Penguins on the moneyline (-107)
• The Penguins are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will the Lightning Come Through as Road Favorites?

When playing on the road this season, the Lightning have gone 20-16-3, including a three-game winning streak. In the Eastern Conference standings, Tampa Bay is in 6th place with 93 points and a record of 43-26-7. Against other teams in the East, the Lightning have gone 24-20.

Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 8-2 and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. As the favorite, the Lightning have gone 29-14-2 in 45 games. In the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay is in 4th place.

On the year, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 41-35 and has gone 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten games. So far, the Lightning have 32 wins by multiple goals and have gone 21-24 against the puck line when favored.

As the road team, Tampa Bay has gone 20-19 against the puck line and has a scoring margin of -.2 goals per contest. In their last ten road games, the Lightning have gone 8-2 against the puck line.

Games involving Tampa Bay have an average of 6.8 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.5. In terms of their over/under performance, the Lightning come in with a record of 36-36-4.

The Lightning are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. This year, the Lightning have recorded a 24-13 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 18-11 record.

Tampa Bay’s current leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. This season, he has 43 goals, which puts him 8th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 90 assists this season.

Defensively, the Penguins are currently 14th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Pittsburgh. They also are 1st in shutouts, coming in with 7 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Pittsburgh, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 48 games in this season. His current record is 29-17, and his save percentage stands at 0.866%.

Will the Penguins Make it Happen at Home?

At home this season, the Penguins have gone 20-13-4 and have won three straight games. Over their last ten games, Pittsburgh has gone 6-4 and they are 11th in the Eastern Conference standings with 81 points. In the Metropolitan Division, the Penguins are in 6th place with a record of 13-12.

As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 12-15-4 this season and they have won three straight games when not favored. Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Penguins have gone 21-24 this season and they have gone 35-30-11 overall.

At home this season, the Penguins have gone 17-20 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.2 goals per game. So far, Pittsburgh has gone 36-40 vs. the puck line, including 6-4 over their last 10 games.

As the underdog, the Penguins have gone 18-13 vs. the puck line, and they have 25 wins by multiple goals. Currently, Pittsburgh has won their last three games vs. the puck line and is 3-0 over their last three games at home.

Games involving Pittsburgh have an average of 6 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.3. In terms of their over/under performance, the Penguins come in with a record of 32-39-5.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.

When looking at their offense, the Penguins have an average of 3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 21st in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 6th in the league. In terms of the Penguins’ offense during power plays, they are 27th in power play goals and 26th in shorthanded goals.

Pittsburgh’s current leading scorer is Sidney Crosby. This season, he has 39 goals, which puts him 13th in the NHL. Crosby also comes into the game with 45 assists.

The Penguins defense is currently 14th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Pittsburgh. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 1st with 7 shutouts.

Goalie Alex Nedeljkovic comes into the game having made 27 starts this season. So far, his record is 15-6 and he has a save percentage of 0.652%.