Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Betting Pick & Prediction 4/3/25

Planning on watching today’s Lightning and Senators game? Catch the action at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON, as the Senators hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are favored by -1.5 in this Atlantic division showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 5.5 goals.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Ottawa Senators +1.5

This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, April 3rd.

WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:

  • Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Senators to come out on top with a final score of 4-2.
  • We like the Senators on the moneyline (+112)
  • The Senators are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Taking a Look at the Lightning Chances in Ottawa

Tampa Bay fell to 44-25-5 after a 7-4 road loss to the Jets. The Lightning were underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.

The Lightning held a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the Jets responded with 7 of the next 9 goals. Four different players scored for Tampa Bay in the loss.

Brandon Hagel opened the scoring for the Lightning with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brayden Point’s 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal in the second period, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th goal, tying the game at 4-4 in the third period.

The Lightning fired 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. Tampa Bay scored twice in the first period, added a third goal in the second, and found the net for the final time with 13:09 left in the third period.

Defensively, the Lightning struggled late, giving up three goals in the 3rd period, including two empty-netters. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage. Tampa Bay’s defense also recorded 6 takeaways and 16 hits.

Does Ottawa Have a Shot at a Home Win?

With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 39-29-6. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals was never in jeopardy, as the game’s combined score reached only 3 goals.

All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, with Adam Gaudette scoring the first at 14:32 in the first period. The Senators’ defense held Seattle to 22 shots, and Anton Forsberg recorded the shutout.

Ottawa’s offense managed 3 goals on 23 shots in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal at 14:32 in the first period. Brady Tkachuk added his 7th goal at 8:49 in the second, and Tim Stützle netted his 6th on an empty net with 2:14 left in the game.

Stützle also picked up his 10th assist on Tkachuk’s goal. Michael Amadio earned his 2nd assist on Stützle’s empty-netter, while Nick Cousins recorded his 4th assist on Gaudette’s goal. Ottawa finished the game with 11 giveaways.

On the defensive side, the Senators will look to carry over their performance from their previous game, where they shut out the Kraken. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves with a 100% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways and 25 hits.