Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/24
Betting on today’s Lightning and Red Wings game? Catch the action at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI, as the Red Wings hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. In this division matchup, the Lightning are the betting favorite against Red Wings. The over/under for the game is 6.5 goals.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS DETROIT RED WINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Red Wings +1.5
This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Sunday, January 21st.
WHY BET THE DETROIT RED WINGS:
- Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Red Wings to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
- We like the Red Wings on the moneyline (-106)
- The Red Wings are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Can Tampa Bay Pull Off a Road Win?
When playing on the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have gone 9-12-2, and their overall record is 24-17-5. In the Eastern Conference standings, Tampa Bay is in 6th place, and in the Atlantic Division, they are in 3rd place.
Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3, and they have won their last five games. When favored this season, Tampa Bay has gone 16-8-1, and they have won their last six games when favored.
On the season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 23-23 and an average scoring differential of +.1 goals per game. So far, they have 16 wins by multiple goals and have gone 10-15 against the puck line when favored.
Heading into the game, the Lightning have won three straight games vs. the puck line and have a puck line record of 5-5 in their last ten games. On the road, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 9-14, and they have gone 3-7 in their last ten games on the road vs. the puck line.
This season, Tampa Bay’s games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 20-22-4.
The Lightning are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 15th in the league. In terms of the Lightning’s offense during power plays, they are 1st in power play goals and 24th in shorthanded goals.
Tampa Bay’s current leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. This season, he has 28 goals, which puts him 4th in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 47 assists.
Defensively, the Red Wings are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32.3 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 21st in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 22 starts this season. So far, his record is 13-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.689%.
Can the Red Wings Pull Off a Home Win?
At home this season, the Red Wings have gone 11-7-4, and they are 8th in the Eastern Conference standings with 51 points. In the Atlantic Division, Detroit is 5th with a record of 8-7. Over their last ten games, the Red Wings have gone 7-3, and they have won four straight games when favored.
Overall, Detroit has gone 23-17-5 this season, and they have been the underdog in 31 of their 45 games. As the underdog, the Red Wings have gone 14-15-2 this season. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Detroit has gone 14-14 this season.
At home this season, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 11-11 and an average scoring margin of +.4 goals per game. So far, Detroit has 14 wins by multiple goals and 9 wins by just one goal.
Overall, the Red Wings have a puck line record of 26-19 and a road puck line record of 15-8. In their last ten home games, Detroit’s puck line record is 4-6.
This season, Detroit’s games have an average of 6.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.4. The Red Wings come in with an over/under performance of 26-19-0.
In their last three road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
Offensively, the Red Wings come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 24th position in the league. This year, the Red Wings have recorded a 8-4 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 15-12 record.
Detroit’s current leading scorer is Dylan Larkin. This season, he has 18 goals, which puts him 36th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Larkin has 22 assists this season.
Detroit defense takes on the Lightning ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.3 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 21st in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Alex Lyon has started 16 games in this season. His current record is 10-5, and his save percentage stands at 0.592%.