Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Tarleton State Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/25/24

Looking to win big? The Thunderbirds and Texans face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Texans are hosting the game at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149 points, and Tarleton State is favored by -6.5 to win at home against Southern Utah.

SOUTHERN UTAH THUNDERBIRDS VS TARLETON STATE TEXANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +6.5

This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN UTAH THUNDERBIRDS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 82-65 in favor of the Thunderbirds.
• Not only will Southern Utah pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

The Thunderbirds have struggled on the road this season, going just 1-9. They are coming off a loss to California Baptist, which dropped their overall record to 6-12. Southern Utah has been the underdog in 12 of their 18 games, going just 1-11 in those contests.

For the season, the Thunderbirds have been outscored by an average of 5.7 points per game on the road, and they are currently on a six-game losing streak away from home. They are 0-5 in their last five road games and just 1-9 in their last 10.

As the underdog, Southern Utah has been solid against the spread this season, going 9-3. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-2 and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Thunderbirds have an ATS record of 7-3.

This season, the over/under record in Southern Utah games is 11-5. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 146.2 and today’s line of 149 is higher than that mark. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

The Thunderbirds’ offense finished with 76 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 76.9 points per contest. Dominick Ford led the team in scoring, putting up 28 points. Additionally, Zion Young contributed 15 points for the Thunderbirds.

The Thunderbirds’ defense is presently ranked 282nd nationally, allowing an average of 78.5 points per contest. Southern Utah will look once again to perform well on defense, holding California Baptist to just 41% shooting in their most recent game.

Can the Texans Pull Off a Home Win?

Through 18 games, Tarleton State has a record of 12-6, including a 5-2 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. The Texans are coming off a 77-73 win over Texas-Rio Grande Valley, and they have won two straight games.

At home this season, Tarleton State is 5-1, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2. The Texans are 6-1 when favored this season, and they have been favored in seven of their 18 games.

As the favorite this season, Tarleton State has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record currently stands at 8-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Texans have gone just 4-6. In their last 3 home games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in Tarleton State’s games this season (136.4). So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 140 points.

The Tarleton State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley. Overall their field goal percentage was 46.3% while connecting on 1 three. Jakorie Smith is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.3. Meanwhile, Lue Williams also brings a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

Tarleton State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 48th nationally, with 66.3 points allowed per game. So far, the Tarleton State defense is giving up an average of 8.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (453rd).