Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

UL Monroe is the heavy favorite in this week seven matchup against Southern Miss, with the point spread set at -7 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 5:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th, at Malone Stadium in Monroe. ESPN+ will be covering the game, and the over/under line is currently at 41.5 points. UL Monroe comes in with a 4-1 record, while Southern Miss is looking to improve on their 1-4 start to the season.

SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES VS UL MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UL Monroe Warhawks -7

This game will be played at Malone Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE UL MONROE WARHAWKS:

  • We have the UL Monroe Warhawks winning this one by a score of 30 to 18
  • Not only do we have the UL Monroe Warhawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7
  • Look for this game to go over the line of 41.5 points

Will The Southern Miss Golden Eagles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Southern Miss enters Week 7 against UL Monroe with a 1-4 record, ranked 124th in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are slim, at just 0.5%. The Golden Eagles are 0-2 on the road and 0-2 at home this season.

They have not been favored in any game so far, and their average scoring margin is -15.6 points per game. Against the spread, Southern Miss is 1-3, going 0-2 on the road and 1-1 at home.

The over/under line for this week is 41.5 points. Southern Miss games have averaged 47.2 points, with an average over/under line of 56.2 points. Their over/under record is 1-3 this season.

Southern Miss has struggled offensively, averaging just 15.8 points per game, which ranks 126th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their third-down conversion rate is only 23.4%, and their rushing attack has been limited to 73.6 yards per game.

Quarterback Tate Rodemaker has thrown for 580 yards with a passer rating of 78, recording four touchdowns and four interceptions. Southern Miss ranks 92nd in passing yards per game. Larry Simmons leads the team with 235 receiving yards.

Southern Miss’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.4 points per game. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 23 points, allowing 412 total yards, including 190 rushing yards and 222 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 216.8 rushing yards per game against Southern Miss, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 98.1, completing 68.7% of their passes. On average, Southern Miss has faced 26.8 pass attempts per game, ranking 34th nationally, and they’ve allowed 198.4 passing yards per game.

Are The UL Monroe Warhawks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

UL Monroe enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, but they’re ranked 100th in our CFB power rankings. Despite that, we give them a 76.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they’re 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road.

The Warhawks have a 3-1 record against the spread and have yet to be favored in a game this season. They’re 2-0 ATS at home and have a 3-1 mark as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is even at 0 points per game.

This week’s over/under line is 41.5 points, the lowest they’ve seen this season. UL Monroe’s over/under record is 1-3, with their games averaging 39.6 points. Their average over/under line has been 50.6 points.

UL Monroe’s offense has struggled heading into week 7, averaging just 19.8 points per game, placing them 116th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 126th nationally with only 111 yards per game and a passer rating of 65. They convert just 34.3% of their third downs.

Quarterback Aidan Armenta has thrown for 295 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions, posting a passer rating of 75. On the ground, UL Monroe averages 140.6 rushing yards per game. Ahmad Hardy leads the team with 380 rushing yards and four touchdowns.

UL Monroe’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 27th nationally by allowing just 19.8 points per game. In their recent win against James Madison, they gave up 19 points but held the Dukes to zero passing touchdowns, despite allowing 251 passing yards and 148 rushing yards.

Opponents have averaged 152.8 rushing yards per game against UL Monroe, while quarterbacks have posted a 75.2 passer rating and averaged 194.8 passing yards per game. This season, opposing quarterbacks have completed 60.8% of their passes against the Warhawks.