Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Little Rock Trojans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/27/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Redhawks and Trojans. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Trojans at Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, AR. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and Little Rock is favored by -12 vs. Southeast Missouri State in a Ohio Valley conference matchup.

SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE REDHAWKS VS LITTLE ROCK TROJANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +12

This game will be played at Jack Stephens Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.

WHY BET THE SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE REDHAWKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-71 in favor of the Trojans.
• Even though we have Little Rock winning straight-up, we like Southeast Missouri State at +12.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Taking a Look at the Redhawks Chances in Little Rock

So far this season, Southeast Missouri State has struggled on the road, going 0-9 and losing by an average of 19.6 points per game. They have lost their last nine games away from home, and their overall record is 7-13. In their last game, they lost to UT Martin by a score of 84-58.

As for the Redhawks’ record as an underdog, it is 1-11, and they have been the underdog in 12 of their 20 games. Today, they are a 12-point underdog, and the over/under is set at 154.5 points. Their conference record is 2-5, and they are 5-8 in non-conference games.

As the underdog, Southeast Missouri State has gone just 3-9 against the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 4-12. On the road, the Redhawks have an ATS mark of 2-7 and they are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the underdog, SEMO is 1-2 and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Southeast Missouri State games is 6-10. On average, their games have finished with 142.2 points, which is 4.4 points lower than the average over/under line of 146.6. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average point total in their games this year and over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 123 points.

In contrast to their season average of 68 points per game, the Southeast Missouri State had a below average performance. They scored 58 points against UT Martin and had a field goal percentage of 36.9%. Rob Martin is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 11.8. Meanwhile, Aquan Smart also brings a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.

On defense, Southeast Missouri State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. UT Martin, the Skyhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 84 points vs. Southeast Missouri State.

Will Little Rock Make it Happen at Home?

Little Rock has a 7-4 record at home this season, compared to a 3-6 record on the road. They have won two straight games and are 10-10 overall. In their last game, they defeated Lindenwood by a score of 80-66.

So far, Little Rock has been favored in nine of their 20 games, going 6-3 in those contests. They are favored by 12 points today, and the over/under is set at 154.5.

As the favorite this season, Little Rock has gone 5-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans have an ATS mark of 5-5. At home, Little Rock is 7-4 ATS this year and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Little Rock games is 13-7 and today’s line of 154.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (153.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and the OU record in their games over their last 10 contests is 7-3.

In their latest game, Little Rock offense put up 80 points against Lindenwood. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 55% and made 6 threes. One area that the Little Rock offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 52nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

So far, the Trojans’ defense is ranked 294th in the country at 79.8 points per contest. The Little Rock defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed Lindenwood to connect on 6 threes.