SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals NCAAB Betting Pick & Prediction for 3/11

The SMU Mustangs are set to play against the #24 Louisville Cardinals on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. The game will be held at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC, which is a neutral site. This game is part of the Atlantic Coast Conference, and it will be broadcast on ESPN.

Louisville comes into this game as the favorite with a spread of -6.5. The Cardinals have a regular-season record of 22-9. On the other hand, SMU is the underdog with a spread of +6.5 and a regular-season record of 20-12. The over/under for this game is set at 163.5.

SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals Game Day Info

  • Sport: College Basketball
  • Teams: SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals
  • Venue: Spectrum Center, Charlotte NC
  • Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET
  • Betting Odds: SMU +6.5 (-110), Louisville -6.5 (-110), SMU MoneyLine +185, Louisville MoneyLine -235, Over/Under 163.5

SMU Mustangs Team Preview

The SMU Mustangs have shown strong performances in recent games. They secured a win against Syracuse, with a score of 86-69. Boopie Miller was a standout player, scoring 25 points and contributing 7 rebounds.

In their last away game against Florida State, the Mustangs faced a defeat, with the final score being 91-78. Boopie Miller again led the team, scoring 32 points. Despite the loss, his field goal percentage of 55% was impressive.

Overall, the Mustangs have a season record of 20-12. They perform better at home with a record of 16-4, compared to 4-8 on the road. Their offense is notable, averaging 85 points per game, ranking them 23rd in the nation.

Louisville Cardinals Team Preview

The Louisville Cardinals have had a strong season with a record of 22-9. They are ranked 24th in the AP poll and play in the Atlantic Coast Conference. At home, they are particularly strong, with a 15-2 record.

Offensively, the Cardinals score 85.9 points per game, ranking them 19th nationally. They have a field goal percentage of 47.2 and make 11.9 three-pointers per game. Their effective field goal percentage stands at 56.8, placing them among the top teams.

Ryan Conwell leads the team with an average of 18.7 points per game. J’Vonne Hadley contributes 11.7 points per game and has a high field goal percentage of 57.5. The team also sees significant input from Sananda Fru, who has a field goal percentage of 75.3.

BTB Betting Pick

In this game, Louisville is favored by 6.5 points. Both teams score over 85 points per game, but Louisville has a slight edge in offensive efficiency. With Louisville’s strong 3-point shooting and higher possession count, they are projected to win 88-81. The pick is Louisville to cover the -6.5 spread.

The total for the game is set at 163.5 points. Both teams have high-scoring offenses, with SMU scoring 85.0 points per game and Louisville at 85.9. Given these offensive stats, the game is projected to exceed the total, reaching 169 points. The recommendation is to take the over on 163.5 points.