SMU Mustangs vs Florida State Seminoles Betting Pick & Prediction 12/16/23

Betting on today’s Mustangs and Seminoles game? Catch the action at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL, as the Seminoles hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ACCN. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 147 points, with the Seminoles being the favored team playing at home against the Mustangs.

SMU MUSTANGS VS FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida State Seminoles -3.5

This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, December 16th.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Seminoles.
• Not only will Florida State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the SMU Defense Show Up on the Road?

This will be SMU’s 11th game of the season, and they currently have a 6-4 record. If they win today, their road record will improve to 2-2, bringing them back to .500. Currently, SMU has an ATS record sitting below .500 at 3-5. Over their last five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

In 10 games, SMU comes in with an over/under mark of 2-6-0, with their games averaging 137 points per game. The Mustangs’ last five games have culminated with an average of 133 points per game and an over/under record of 1-4.

In their recent game, the Mustangs’ offense concluded with 74 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.4 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Zhuric Phelps with 24 points. Chuck Harris also added 17 points for the Mustangs.

At this time, the Mustangs’ defense is positioned 18th in the country, permitting 62.0 points per game. The SMU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Arizona State to connect on 6 threes.

Can the Seminoles Pull Off a Home Win?

The Seminoles enter today’s game with a 4-4 record following their most recent defeat to South Florida (88-72). When playing away from home, the Seminoles are 1-3 this season, but have a 3-1 record on their home court. As of now, Florida State has a 5-3 record against the spread heading into today’s game. Looking at their last five games, the team has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

Through eight games, Florida State has an over/under record of 4-3-1 with their games averaging a combined 153.4 points per game so far. The Seminoles have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 147 points per game.

Against South Florida, the Florida State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 78 points per game. They scored 72 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Jamir Watkins, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13.8, while Darin Green Jr also carries a PPG average of 12.8 into the game.

On the defensive side, Florida State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 73.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Florida State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.1% this season.