Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction for 7/11

The Seattle Mariners are set to take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. This MLB regular season game will take place on Saturday, July 11, 2026, at 4:10 PM. The Mariners have a record of 47-48 and are ranked second in the AL West.
On the other side, the Rays hold a 55-37 record, placing them first in the AL East. The Mariners are looking to end their four-game losing streak, while the Rays aim to build on their recent win. Logan Gilbert will pitch for Seattle, and Griffin Jax will take the mound for Tampa Bay.
Seattle Mariners Team Preview
The Seattle Mariners have faced a tough stretch in recent games. They lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 7-2 on July 10th, with Luis Castillo allowing four earned runs over five innings. Despite a home run from Cole Young, the Mariners could only muster five hits in the game.
On July 9th, the Mariners fell to the Miami Marlins 8-4. Bryce Miller started for Seattle, giving up four earned runs in five innings. Dominic Canzone hit a home run and collected two RBIs, but the team couldn’t close the gap.
The Mariners have struggled offensively this season, holding a .230 batting average, which ranks 20th. Their slugging percentage of .379 is 19th in the league. Despite this, they have hit 113 home runs, placing them 11th overall.
Mariners vs Rays Game Day Info
- Sport: MLB
- Teams: Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Venue: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Betting Odds: Mariners Moneyline -106, Rays Moneyline -114
Tampa Bay Rays Team Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have shown strong hitting in recent games. Against the Mariners on July 10th, the team had 14 hits and 4 home runs. Junior Caminero and Victor Mesa Jr. were key players with multiple hits and runs.
In the game against the Yankees on July 9th, the Rays struggled. They lost by 8 runs, managing 10 hits and 1 home run. Despite the loss, Chandler Simpson and Junior Caminero hit well.
The Rays’ pitching has been effective, with a team ERA of 3.80, ranking 8th in the league. Griffin Jax will start in the next game, holding a 3.60 ERA this season. The team aims to capitalize on their strong hitting and pitching in upcoming games.
BTB Betting Pick
The Rays are slightly favored with a moneyline of -114, while the Mariners are at -106. The Rays have a better team batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 3rd and 4th respectively. This gives them an edge in offensive performance. Based on these factors, the pick is for the Rays to win the game.
The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have a strong pitching record with a 3.61 ERA, ranked 4th, and the Rays have a 3.80 ERA, ranked 8th. Both teams have solid pitching, suggesting a low-scoring game. The recommendation is to take the under 7.5 runs.