San Jose State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25

Looking to win big? The Spartans and Falcons face off at 3:00 ET on MWN. The Falcons are hosting the game at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO. San Jose State is favored by -1 in this Mountain West conference matchup the against Air Force. The over/under for the game is set at 136 points.
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +1
This game will be played at Clune Arena at 3:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Falcons.
- Not only will Air Force pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Can the Spartans Offense Score Enough on the Road?
San Jose State Spartans Recent Game/Games
The Spartans fell to 5-10 on the season after an 85-78 home loss to Utah State on Tuesday. San Jose State was a +9.5 underdog but managed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 163 exceeded the over/under line of 147.5.
San Jose State trailed 45-36 at halftime but showed resilience by outscoring Utah State 42-40 in the second half. Despite the loss, the Spartans’ ability to keep the game closer than expected could be a positive takeaway.
San Jose State’s offense put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 41.7% from the field. They made 14 threes on 42.4% shooting from deep, with an effective field goal percentage of 53.3%. At the free-throw line, they hit 82.4% of their attempts, going 14-for-17.
Donavan Yap led the way with 22 points, hitting 6-of-10 from three and adding 4 assists. Mason Falslev contributed 17 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists, shooting 75% from beyond the arc. The Spartans finished with 20 assists and 13 offensive rebounds in the win.
San Jose State’s defense gave up 85 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 41% from the field on 25 of 60 attempts. They held them to 40% shooting inside the arc, as the team went 11 for 27 on two-point shots.
From three-point range, the opposition hit 14 of 33 attempts, good for 42%. San Jose State also sent them to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 14 free throws, shooting 82%. The Spartans allowed 13 offensive rebounds.
Can the Falcons Pull the Upset at Home?
Air Force dropped to 3-12 on the season following a 67-38 loss to San Diego State on Wednesday. The Falcons were +19 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread.
After trailing 33-24 at halftime, Air Force managed just 14 points in the 2nd half while allowing 34. The game’s total points of 105 fell short of the O/U line of 129.5.
Air Force struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 38 points while shooting 30.6% from the field. They connected on only 25% of their threes (5/20) and went 11/22 from the free-throw line.
Nick Boyd and Bj Davis were bright spots, with Boyd shooting 60% overall and from three, and Davis hitting 75% of his threes. The Falcons managed just 2 offensive rebounds and recorded 6 assists as a team.
Air Force’s defense held their opponent to 67 points on 36% shooting from the field, including 23% from three-point range, as they connected on just 6 of 26 attempts.
Despite sending them to the line 19 times, Air Force limited the damage with their opponent hitting only 57% of their free throws. The Falcons also gave up 24 offensive rebounds in the game.