San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Giants are 69-72, while the Padres are 80-62. San Francisco is starting Mason Black, while the Padres have Michael King on the mound.

San Diego is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -215 compared to the Giants at +180. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and APLTV will be televising this one.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +180

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Friday, September 6th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS PADRES:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Giants Records & Stats

The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Diamondbacks, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Diamondbacks in the top of the first, the Giants responded with two runs of their own. San Francisco went on to add another run in the 4th inning and closed things out with a 3rd run in the 8th.

Blake Snell only lasted one inning in his start for the Giants, giving up two hits and a run. He also issued two walks in the inning and took the loss. San Francisco’s bullpen was excellent, though, going eight innings and giving up just one run. Ryan Walker picked up the save, and the Giants were -157 at home going into the game.

San Francisco is 69-72 overall and trail the Dodgers by 15.5 games in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and are 15.5 games behind the Diamondbacks for 3rd place in the division. The Giants lost the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks after taking the opener.

At home, the Giants have gone 40-32 this season, but they are just 29-40 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 25-40 this year and 44-32 when favored. San Francisco has dropped four straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 21-20-3. The Giants have dropped four straight series.

When the Giants win, they win big, as their average run differential in victories is +3.1. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.2 runs. As for the run line, the Giants are 69-72 overall, but they are 38-31 on the road. They are 38-27 versus the run line as an underdog, but they are just 31-45 as the favorite.

The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below the combined run average for these two teams this season. The Giants have played in 52.2% of their games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and their record in those games is 29-23.

Mason Black and the Giants are on the road to take on the Padres. Black is making his third start of the season and is still looking for his first win. He took a loss in his last outing, going 5 innings and giving up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. In his first start of the year, he went 3 innings and gave up 4 runs.

So far this season, the Giants have been a below-average offensive team, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been just as mediocre at home and on the road. San Francisco’s team batting average is 15th in the league, and they are also 18th in home runs. Currently, the Giants are 9th in walks and have an average on-base percentage of .309.

San Francisco’s top home run hitter is Matt Chapman, who is batting .247 overall and has gone deep 22 times. He also leads the team with 69 RBIs. Heliot Ramos is right behind him in the home run department, with 20 homers and a batting average of .274. Mike Yastrzemski has three homers in his last eight games but is hitting just .231 in that stretch.

Padres Records & Stats

Xander Bogaerts and the Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. Bogaerts went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox scored another run in the 2nd inning and were leading 3-0 before the Tigers scored their first run in the 3rd.

Martin Perez started for the Red Sox, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Tigers batters. However, the Red Sox bullpen couldn’t close things out, and the Tigers scored four runs in the top of the 9th to steal the win from the Red Sox. Robert Suarez took the loss out of the bullpen for the Red Sox.

San Diego will host the Giants with an overall record of 80-62, which has them five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres’ 20-20 record against other NL West teams. The Padres are coming off a series win vs. the Tigers, taking two of three games.

At home, the Padres are 39-33 this season and 41-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 51-38 this year and 29-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-4, and they have won two straight series.

When betting on the Padres’ run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 44-26 ATS compared to 28-44 ATS at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog (36-17 ATS) than as the favorite (36-53 ATS). Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -3.5 in losing games.

San Diego Padres games have had an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game this season. Their games have gone over the total 76 times and under 64 times. The average over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit 23 times and the under has hit 23 times. 84 of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, which is 59.2% of their games. Only 12 of their games have had lower over/under lines set, which is 8.5% of their games.

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants at home. He has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.17 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. King’s ERA on the road is 3.36, and he has gone 8-3 away from home. In comparison, his home record is 3-5, with a 3.66 ERA. The last time he pitched, King took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has lost two straight starts.

San Diego comes into today’s game with the best batting average in the league at .264, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Their team on-base percentage is also very good, and they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are tied for 2nd on the Padres with 22 home runs apiece, and Machado’s 86 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. Jackson Merrill has also been a big run producer for the Padres, as his 82 RBIs is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Over his last eight games, Merrill has gone deep three times and is batting .290.