San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25
Planning on watching today’s Aztecs and Lobos game? Catch the action at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on CBS. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have New Mexico as the -3.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 147.5 points.
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Mexico Lobos -3.5
This game will be played at The Pit at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Lobos.
- Not only will New Mexico pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Do the Aztecs Have a Shot at a Road Win?
San Diego State improved to 9-3 on the season with a dominant 67-38 win over Air Force on Wednesday. The Aztecs, who were -19 favorites, not only covered the spread but also held the Falcons to just 38 points. The game’s combined total of 105 points fell well short of the O/U line of 129.5.
Leading 33-24 at halftime, SDSU’s defense clamped down in the second half, allowing only 14 points while scoring 34 themselves.
San Diego State struggled offensively, shooting just 36.2% from the field and 23.1% from three-point range, with an effective field goal percentage of 40.6%. They also hit only 57.9% of their free throws, but managed to grab 24 offensive rebounds and dish out 8 assists.
Nick Boyd led the way with 16 points, shooting 60.0% overall and from three-point range. BJ Davis added 15 points, hitting 75.0% of his threes, while Ethan Taylor contributed 11 points, connecting on 50.0% from deep.
San Diego State’s defense held their opponent to just 38 points, allowing them to shoot 36% from the field on 25 of 69 attempts. Inside the arc, they gave up 19 baskets on 43 tries, a 44% shooting rate.
From three-point range, the Aztecs limited their opponent to 6 of 26 shooting, or 23%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 11 shots, shooting 57%. San Diego State allowed 24 offensive rebounds.
Does New Mexico Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games
The Lobos improved to 12-3 on the season with a 61-53 road win over Wyoming on Tuesday. New Mexico entered the game as -7 favorites and covered the spread with the victory.
New Mexico trailed 32-18 at halftime but turned things around in the second half, scoring 43 points while holding Wyoming to 21. The game’s total points of 114 fell well below the O/U line of 144.5.
The Lobos struggled offensively, shooting just 33.3% from the field and 23.8% from three-point range in their last game, finishing with 61 points. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.6%, and they recorded only 8 assists as a team.
Donovan Dent led the Lobos with 22 points and 6 assists, while Filip Borovicanin contributed 16 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 3 of 6 from beyond the arc. Nelly Junior Joseph also posted a double-double with 12 points and 12 rebounds.
New Mexico’s defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 53 points on 32% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 14 of 40 attempts, a 35% success rate.
From beyond the arc, New Mexico’s defense allowed just 5 threes on 19 attempts, a 26% shooting performance. They also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 10 of those attempts, shooting 58%.