San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/25
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aztecs and Broncos. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on CBS, and it’s hosted by the Broncos at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 137.5 points, and Boise State is favored by -4.5 to win at home against San Diego State.
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boise State Broncos -4.5
This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE BOISE STATE BRONCOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Broncos.
- Not only will Boise State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Can the Aztecs Lock in a Road Win?
San Diego State Aztecs Recent Game/Games
San Diego State dropped to 7-3 on the season after a 67-66 home loss to Utah State on Saturday. The Aztecs were -4 favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 133, falling short of the 142.5 O/U line.
San Diego State led 43-32 at halftime but managed only 23 points in the 2nd half while allowing 35 points to Utah State.
San Diego State’s offense put up 66 points in their last game, shooting 38.5% from the field and 25% from beyond the arc, hitting 6 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.2%, but they excelled at the free-throw line, connecting on 20 of 22 attempts for a 90.9% success rate.
Ian Martinez led the team with 17 points, despite shooting just 22.2% from three. Mason Falslev added 16 points, hitting 40% from deep, while Tucker Anderson knocked down 4 of 7 threes, finishing with 14 points. The Aztecs recorded 11 assists and 8 offensive rebounds in the game.
San Diego State’s defense held their opponent to 67 points on 38% shooting from the field. They allowed 14 two-point baskets on 28 attempts, a 50% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, the Aztecs limited their opponent to 6 made threes on 24 attempts, a 25% success rate. They also sent them to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 20 free throws, a 90% shooting performance. San Diego State gave up 8 offensive rebounds.
Will the Boise State Defense Show Up at Home?
Boise State improved to 10-3 on the season with a 67-58 road win over Wyoming on Tuesday. The Broncos, who were -7.5 favorites going into the game, covered the spread with the victory.
Boise State led 25-19 at halftime and scored 42 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. The game’s total points of 125 fell short of the O/U line of 136.5.
Boise State put up 67 points in their last game, shooting 45.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. They hit 40% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 20 attempts, and were solid at the free-throw line, making 17 of 22 for 77.3%.
Alvaro Cardenas led the way with 19 points and 6 assists, despite shooting just 16.7% from three. A.J. Wills was efficient, scoring 17 points in 14 minutes, hitting 5 of 7 from deep. Tyson Degenhart added 16 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 50% from both the field and three-point range.
Boise State’s defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 58 points on 35% shooting from the field. They limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 11 of 32 attempts for 34%.
From beyond the arc, Boise State allowed 9 threes on 25 attempts, a 36% shooting rate. They also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 15 times, where they converted 9 for 60%.