San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/1/24

First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Padres and Rays is set for 1:40 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. BSSUN is carrying the game on TV, and the Rays are the slight home underdogs on the money line (+119). The money line odds have the Padres at -139, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs.

San Diego is currently 3rd in the NL West with a record of 77-61, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East at 67-68. Dylan Cease is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Ryan Pepiot for the Rays.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -139

This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, September 1st.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS RAYS:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Padres, they scored their final two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -124 on the money line.

Shane Baz got the win for the Rays, going five innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Randy Vásquez only went 4 1/3 innings for the Padres, giving up nine runs on eleven hits.

Tampa Bay got a huge performance from Junior Caminero, who went 1/4 with a home run and three RBIs. Brandon Lowe, José Caballero, Josh Lowe, and Christopher Morel each had two hits and drove in at least one run.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is on the road today vs. the Rays, and they are 77-61 overall, which has them six games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are also tied with the Diamondbacks for 2nd place in the division.

The Padres have gone just 5-5 over their last 10 games, and they are 26-14-5 in series this year. As the favorite, the Padres are 48-37 and 29-24 as the underdog. They have been a good team on the road this year, going 40-29 compared to 37-32 at home.

San Diego is 44-25 against the run line on the road this season, with an average run differential of +1.1 runs per game. The Padres have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog this season, going 36-17, compared to 35-50 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 71-67, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.

The San Diego Padres are on the road to face the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Padres have had a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-62. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 9-2. The over has hit in two straight games for the Padres.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Cardinals, Cease gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He allowed four walks and seven hits in the outing. Cease has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.57 ERA. Looking back over his last four outings, Cease has alternated between wins and losses. His ERA on the road is 4.78, compared to 3.25 at home.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .327 is 4th in the MLB. The Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Machado leading the team with 23 homers and Profar right behind him at 21. Machado’s 83 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Over his last eight games, Machado has gone 11/33 with three homers and nine RBIs. Luis Arraez has been a solid all-around hitter for the Padres, batting .309 with four homers and 39 RBIs.

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay is 67-68 overall, and they are 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division and have gone 17-23 in AL East games. The Rays will be taking on the Padres at home today with an even 35-35 record at home.

The Rays have dropped two straight series, and their overall series record is 21-17-5 this year. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 33-38 this year compared to a mark of 34-30 as the favorite. They are also just below .500 at 32-33 on the road this year.

Despite their overall run line record being below .500, the Rays have been a profitable bet on the run line when playing on the road, where they are 37-28. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 43-28, compared to when they are the favorite, where they are just 24-40.

The Tampa Bay Rays are at home today against the San Diego Padres, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Rays have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 61-68. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their record is 2-2-4. The over has hit in their last three games.

The Rays are sending Ryan Pepiot to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, Pepiot took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, he has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.61 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .202 vs. Pepiot this season, and his ERA at home is 4.37 compared to 3.76 on the road. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.46 strikeouts per nine innings.

Yandy Diaz comes into the game as the Rays’ top hitter, with a batting average of .276, and he also leads the team with 59 RBIs. Diaz is also on a bit of a hot streak, going 4/10 in his last three games, with two homers. Over his last five games, Josh Lowe is hitting .474 with two homers and three RBIs. Lowe also has four runs scored during this stretch.

As a team, the Rays are batting just .231, and they are also near the bottom of the league in both home runs and runs scored. Overall, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Their team OPS of .677 is 23rd in the league.