San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24

Yu Darvish is starting for the Padres on Friday, and they will be looking to turn things around, as they have lost two in a row and are 91-68 overall. The Diamondbacks are 88-71 and they have Merrill Kelly on the mound. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix.

Both teams are 3-2 in their last five games, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -132 compared to the Padres at +110. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -132

This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Friday, September 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Padres Records & Stats

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 7-2 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Padres who held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Dodgers scored five runs in the bottom of the 7th. San Diego was the -110 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Joe Musgrove was excellent for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Padres couldn’t close things out, and Tanner Scott took the loss out of the bullpen. The Padres also wasted a big game from Manny Machado, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, the Padres are 91-68 overall, putting them four games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego lost the final two games of their series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 25-24 in divisional games.

This season, the Padres have been good both at home and on the road. They are 45-36 at home compared to a 46-32 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 60-43 and 31-25 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 30-16-6, and they are coming off winning seven of their last ten games.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 49-29, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog. The Padres’ average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

The San Diego Padres are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 81-74 on the season, with the average combined run total in their games sitting at 8.8. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 6-4. Only 9.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Right-hander Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.18. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.72 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish most recently pitched on September 22nd, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .264. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and their 4.7 runs per game is good for 8th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Machado’s 29 homers leading the team and Profar right behind him at 24. Machado’s 104 RBIs is also the best mark on the team. Over his last five games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 6/19 with two home runs.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Pavin Smith was a big reason why the Diamondbacks closed out their series vs. the Giants with an 8-2 win. He went only 1/1, but it was a three-run homer in the 2nd inning. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a four-run 2nd. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -257 at home.

Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He also issued only two walks and struck out 11 Giants batters. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out with two scoreless innings, and the Diamondbacks’s offense added another three runs in the 8th.

With an overall record of 88-71, the Diamondbacks trail the Dodgers by seven games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division standings and have gone 27-22 against other teams in the NL West. Arizona is playing at home today, hosting the Padres, who are 4.0 games behind the Dodgers and lead the Diamondbacks by three games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 43-35 this year, and they are above .500 at 45-36 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 52-32 this year and 36-39 as the underdog. They will be looking to get back on track today, as they lost the series to the Giants 2-1 and are just 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Arizona has a run line record of 83-76 this season, with a run differential of +0.6 runs per game. They have been better against the run line on the road, going 48-33 compared to 35-43 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-28 compared to 36-48 as the favorite.

Arizona is 19-11-4 when the over/under line is set at 9 runs, and the Diamondbacks have gone over the total in two straight games. The D-backs have played 63.5% of their games with an over/under line set at 9 runs or lower, and their combined run average is 10.4 runs per game this season.

Through 12 starts, Merrill Kelly has a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 3.71 for the Diamondbacks. He has made five quality starts this season and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Brewers, Kelly went five innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had two straight outings in which he didn’t allow a homer. Kelly’s ERA for the season is 3.71, and his WHIP is 1.13. Looking at his home/away splits, Kelly is 3-0 on the road with a 3.98 ERA compared to 2-0 at home with a 3.80 ERA.

For the season, the Diamondbacks are the best offense in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have also been the best home run hitting team in the league, while batting a collective .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. As a team, they are also the league leaders in on-base percentage and OPS.

Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 in his last seven games, with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .294 with a team-high 35 homers. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 29 times this season, and his 98 RBIs are 11th best in the league.