San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick & Prediction 3/9/25
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-503) will host the Spurs (+379) in a Western Conference matchup. Minnesota is currently favored by 10.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 232.
San Antonio is 26-35 and 13th in the Western Conference, while Minnesota is 36-29 and 7th in the West. The Timberwolves are also riding a four-game winning streak.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5
This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Sunday, March 9th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-112 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.5% and knocking down 17 threes.
Can San Antonio Secure a Road Victory?
The Spurs fell to 26-35 on the season after a 127-109 road loss to the Kings on Friday. San Antonio entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 236 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 233.5.
San Antonio started strong, leading 26-20 after the 1st quarter, but a rough 2nd quarter saw them outscored 36-16. They trailed 95-76 heading into the 4th, where they managed to outscore the Kings 33-32, but it was too little, too late.
Stephon Castle led the Spurs with 25 points on 58.8% shooting in their 127-109 loss to the Kings, adding 9 points in the opening quarter. De’Aaron Fox contributed 16 points, with 10 coming in the 3rd quarter, despite shooting just 35.3% from the field.
Harrison Barnes hit 4 threes at an 80% clip, finishing with 12 points, including 6 in the 1st quarter. As a team, the Spurs made 16 threes, shooting 38.1% from deep and 46% overall.
The Spurs started strong defensively, holding the Kings to just 20 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd and 3rd, giving up 36 and 39 points, respectively. Sacramento shot 51% from the field overall.
San Antonio also had trouble defending the three, allowing 17 made threes on 44% shooting. They sent the Kings to the line 19 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Spurs recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks in the game.
Can Minnesota Deliver Being Favored at Home?
The Timberwolves improved to 36-29 on the season with a 106-104 win over the Heat on Friday. Minnesota was favored by 3.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, winning by just two. The total points for the game were 210, falling short of the 218-point over/under line.
Minnesota started strong, leading 33-25 after the 1st quarter, but Miami responded with a 27-19 2nd quarter. Both teams scored 28 points in the 3rd, leaving the game tied at 80 heading into the 4th. The Heat went on a 10-0 run, but the Timberwolves rallied to outscore Miami 26-24 in the final period.
In their win over the Heat, the Timberwolves hit 18 threes at a 40% clip, finishing with a 49.4% overall shooting percentage. Naz Reid, Mike Conley, and Donte DiVincenzo each contributed 15 points, with all three hitting 3 three-pointers.
Reid and Conley both scored 7 points in the 3rd quarter, while Reid added another 7 in the 4th. Anthony Edwards also scored 7 points in the final period, finishing with 13 points overall.
The Timberwolves held the Heat to 104 points on Friday, allowing 25 points in the 1st quarter, 27 in the 2nd, 28 in the 3rd, and 24 in the 4th. Minnesota gave up 14 threes on 41% shooting from deep.
Minnesota sent Miami to the line 11 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Timberwolves grabbed 36 defensive rebounds while allowing 7 offensive boards. They also recorded 6 steals and 6 blocks.