San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/9/24
At 8:00 ET, the Spurs (-161) will travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies (+134) in a Southwest Division showdown. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 214.5 points.
San Antonio comes into this game with a record of 19-59, which puts them in 15th place in the Western Conference. Memphis, on the other hand, is 27-51 and in 13th place in the West. The Spurs are currently favored by 3.5 points on the road.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +3.5
This game will be played at FedExForum at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, April 9th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 67-65 in favor of the Spurs.
- Our projections have Victor Wembanyama finishing with Victor Wembanyama points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Spurs finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.3% and knocking down 7 threes.
Does San Antonio Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?
Today, the Spurs are favored by 3.5 points on the road against the Grizzlies. In their 78 games this season, the Spurs have been favored in just seven games, going 5-2 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +11.1 points per game.
San Antonio’s O/U record for the season is 40-37-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, 77 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 214.5.
In their most recent game, the Spurs lost to the 76ers by a score of 133-126. The O/U line for that game was 226 points. San Antonio was a 4-point underdog in that game, and the loss dropped them to 19-59 on the season.
In the Western Conference, the Spurs are in 15th place with a record of 19-59. Against the West, they are 12-36 and 2-13 against teams in their division. On the road, the Spurs are 9-30 compared to 10-29 at home.
This season, the Spurs have an ATS record of 41-37, and they have covered the spread in five straight road games. Today’s O/U line is lower than their season average of 231.4 points per game.
This season, the Spurs have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. They are currently 2nd in the league in pace at 101.2 possessions per game. However, their scoring numbers have been inconsistent, as they are 22nd in the NBA at 112.3 points per game.
When playing on the road, the Spurs are averaging 110.7 points per game, which is 22nd in the league. In terms of field goal percentage, San Antonio is shooting 46% from the field this season, which is 25th in the NBA.
From beyond the arc, the Spurs are 15th in the league in three-pointers made per game at 12.7. However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%. In terms of free throws, San Antonio is 24th in the NBA at 15.8 made free throws per game.
Coming into the game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 119.2 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 65.4% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Spurs defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.8% while allowing 37.5% from downtown.
Will the Grizzlies Come Through as Home Underdogs?
As the underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 20-41 this season. As the underdog, their games have averaged a scoring differential of -8.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 214.5 is lower than 60 of their previous games.
Memphis’ last game finished with a combined score of 212 points, falling short of the O/U line of 213.5. In the Grizzlies’ last three games, the under has hit.
In the Western Conference, the Grizzlies are currently in 13th place with a record of 27-51. On the road, they have gone 18-22 compared to 9-29 at home.
For the season, Memphis is 38-40 against the spread and 32-29 ATS as the underdog. At home, they are 15-23 ATS and have lost their last two ATS games on the road.
Memphis is coming off a 116-96 loss to the 76ers. They were 14.5-point underdogs in that game. The Grizzlies are 14-34 against Western Conference opponents and 13-17 against non-conference teams.
At home, the Grizzlies are averaging 103.8 points per game, which is 30th in the NBA. Overall, they are 30th in scoring at 105.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Memphis is 30th at 43%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 10th in made threes at 13.2 per game. However, they are just 29th in three-point shooting percentage at 34%. In terms of pace, Memphis is 16th at 98 possessions per game.
So far, the Grizzlies have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 20.5% of their games. They are also 29th in true shooting percentage. In terms of assists, Memphis is 24th at 24.9 per game.
So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 11th in the league at 112.7 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Grizzlies’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.9% and allowing 38.1% from beyond the arc.