San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-512) will host the San Antonio Spurs (+388) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Mavericks (-10.5) are favored and have lost four straight games. The over/under line is set at 228 points.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on NBA TV. The Spurs are 6-7 and 11th in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks are 5-7 and 12th in the West.

SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +10.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 140-130 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can the Spurs Offense Score Enough on the Road?

The Spurs fell to 6-7 on the season after a 120-115 home loss to the Lakers on Friday. San Antonio, who entered as +2.5 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 235 exceeded the O/U line of 228.

San Antonio started strong with an 11-0 run but couldn’t maintain the momentum. They were outscored 37-30 in the 2nd quarter, and despite winning the 3rd (26-25) and 4th (29-27) quarters, they couldn’t overcome the 93-86 deficit heading into the final period.

In the Spurs’ 120-115 loss to the Lakers, Victor Wembanyama led the way with 28 points, 14 rebounds, and 5 assists, hitting 4 threes despite shooting just 30.8% from deep. Stephon Castle added 22 points and 5 assists, connecting on 3 threes at a 75% clip, while Devin Vassell contributed 15 points and 5 assists, making 3 threes as well.

San Antonio hit 17 threes as a team, shooting 37.8% from beyond the arc and 48.9% overall. Wembanyama scored 9 points in the 1st quarter, while Castle added 9 in the 2nd. Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson both scored 5 points in the 4th quarter, with Johnson and Chris Paul each adding 6 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Spurs struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 37 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 25. Overall, they gave up 120 points on 50% shooting from the field in their loss to the Lakers.

San Antonio had trouble defending the three, with the Lakers hitting 14 threes at a 45% clip. The Spurs sent the Lakers to the line 23 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Spurs recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Mavericks?

The Mavericks fell to 5-7 on the season after a 115-113 road loss to the Jazz on Thursday. Dallas, who entered the game as 7.5-point favorites, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 228, just under the pre-game line of 230.

Dallas led 64-61 at halftime but saw the game slip away after an 11-0 run by the Jazz, which extended the score to 83-73. The Mavericks were down 99-85 going into the 4th quarter but made a strong push, outscoring the Jazz 28-16 in the final period.

Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 37 points and 9 assists in their loss to the Jazz, shooting 52% from the field and hitting 4 threes at a 30.8% clip. As a team, Dallas made 12 threes, shooting just 30.8% from deep, but they connected on 50.6% of their field goals overall.

Naji Marshall added 19 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter, while Klay Thompson hit 5 threes, finishing with 17 points despite shooting 35.3% from the field. Quentin Grimes contributed 15 points, with 8 coming in the opening quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, giving up 34 and 38 points, respectively, but they tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 16 points. Overall, they allowed 115 points on 50% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, Dallas held the Jazz to 13 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent Utah to the line 21 times, where the Jazz converted 16 free throws. The Mavericks recorded 11 steals and 10 blocks in the game.