Samford Bulldogs vs VMI Keydets Betting Pick & Prediction 2/10/24

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Keydets. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Keydets at Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA. Get ready to place your bets! Samford is favored by -18 in this Southern conference contest against VMI. The game’s over/under currently sits at 171.5 points.

SAMFORD BULLDOGS VS VMI KEYDETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: VMI Keydets +18

This game will be played at Cameron Hall at 1:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE VMI KEYDETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Keydets.
• Not only will VMI pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +18.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 171.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is It the Bulldogs Game to Lose on the Road?

Samford is a perfect 15-0 when favored this season, and they have gone 21-3 overall. They have won four straight games, and their average scoring margin on the road is +2.1 compared to +16.7 at home. The Bulldogs are 7-3 on the road this season, and they have won three straight games.

In their last game, Samford defeated UNCG by a score of 78-69. So far, they have gone 10-1 in Southern Conference play compared to 11-2 in non-conference action. Through 24 games, the Bulldogs have a record of 21-3.

Samford has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 13-8, and they have a winning mark of 10-5 vs. the spread when favored. However, their ATS record as the favorite has been poor recently, as they are 0-3 in their last three games and just 2-3 in their last five.

Samford’s over/under record for the season is 9-12 and their games have averaged 159 points. Today’s over/under line of 171.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (155.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2. On the year, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line.

In their latest game, Samford offense put up 78 points against UNCG. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49% and made 12 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Jaden Campbell with 17 points, while Achor Achor also added 16 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Bulldogs’ defense holds the 229th rank in the nation, allowing 74.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. UNCG, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 69 points vs. Samford.

Can the Keydets Lock in a Home Win?

So far this season, VMI has been the underdog in 21 of their 24 games. They have gone 1-20 in those games, and their average scoring margin in those games is -15.7 points per game. They have lost their last five games, and their record in Southern Conference games is 1-10.

At home this season, the Keydets have gone 1-9. Their average scoring margin at home is -9.1 points per game, and they have lost their last three games at home. Their record over their last 10 home games is 3-7.

As the underdog, VMI has an ATS record of 8-13 this season. However, their ATS mark as the underdog improves to 4-6 over their last 10 games in that role. At home, the Keydets have an ATS record of 5-5 this year and are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games.

Today’s over/under line of 171.5 is higher than the average over/under line in VMI games this season (150.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

In their latest game, VMI offense put up 84 points against Chattanooga. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.4% and made 11 threes. Tyran Cook was the leading scorer for the Keydets, putting up 28 points. In addition, Stephen Olowoniyi contributed 15 points.

So far, the Keydets’ defense is ranked 324th in the country at 81.4 points per contest. Against Chattanooga in their most recent game, the VMI defense gave up a total of 88 points while allowing Chattanooga to hit 44% of their shots.