Samford Bulldogs vs Michigan State Spartans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/19/24
Betting on today’s Bulldogs and Spartans game? Catch the action at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI, as the Spartans hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on PEAC. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 160.5 points, with Michigan State being favored by -17.5 over Samford.
SAMFORD BULLDOGS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Samford Bulldogs +17.5
This game will be played at Breslin Center at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, November 19th.
WHY BET THE SAMFORD BULLDOGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Spartans.
- Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Samford at +17.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 160.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Does Samford Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Samford improved to 3-0 on the season with a 97-82 home win over Texas Southern on Sunday. The Bulldogs, who were -12 favorites, covered the spread, while the game’s total points of 179 went over the pre-game line of 160.
Samford led 51-32 at halftime and scored 46 points in the 2nd half, but they allowed 50 points after the break, which is something they’ll likely look to tighten up in future games.
Samford’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 97 points with a 47.2% field goal percentage. They were especially effective from beyond the arc, hitting 20 of 44 threes for a 45.5% clip, contributing to an effective field goal percentage of 61.1%.
Rylan Jones was a standout, knocking down 6 of 7 threes and finishing with 18 points and 8 assists in just 19 minutes. Duane Posey also had a big game, scoring 26 points and grabbing 12 rebounds, shooting 6 of 7 from the field.
Samford’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 82 points on 47% shooting from the field. They allowed 34 made field goals on 72 attempts.
From beyond the arc, the Bulldogs allowed 20 threes on 44 attempts, a 45% shooting performance. They also sent their opponents to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws.
Does Michigan State Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?
Michigan State improved to 3-0 this season with an 86-72 win over Bowling Green on Saturday. The Spartans, who were -24.5 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 158, going over the O/U line of 151.5.
After a 43-43 tie at halftime, Michigan State’s defense stepped up, allowing just 29 points in the 2nd half while scoring 43 points of their own to pull away for the win.
Michigan State put up 86 points in their last game, shooting 45.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.2%, with a strong 59% shooting inside the arc. However, they struggled from three-point range, hitting just 4 of 20 attempts (20%).
At the free-throw line, the Spartans were impressive, making 28 of 32 shots (87.5%). They also grabbed 15 offensive rebounds and dished out 20 assists. Marcus Johnson led the way with 23 points, despite shooting 9.1% from three (1/11) and 37.5% overall (9/24).
Michigan State’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 45% from the field. The Spartans struggled to contain two-point shots, allowing 23 makes on 39 attempts for a 59% success rate.
From beyond the arc, Michigan State held their opponent to just 4 made threes on 20 attempts, a 20% shooting performance. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 32 times, where they converted 28 of those attempts, shooting 87%. The Spartans also allowed 15 offensive rebounds.