Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Francisco Dons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/6/25

The Gaels and Dons are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN2. The Dons will host the game at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. Saint Mary’s is favored by -6 in this West Coast conference matchup the against San Francisco. The over/under for the game is set at 130.5 points.
SAINT MARY’S GAELS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Dons +6
This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 6th.
WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO DONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Dons.
- Not only will San Francisco pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 130.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Will the Gaels Find a Way to Win on the Road?
Saint Mary’s Gaels Recent Game/Games
Saint Mary’s improved to 19-3 on the season with a 62-58 win over Gonzaga on Saturday. The Gaels were +2.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they not only pulled off the win but also covered the spread.
Saint Mary’s led 36-28 at halftime but allowed Gonzaga to score 30 points in the 2nd half while scoring 26 themselves. The total points for the game were 120, well under the O/U line of 146.5.
Saint Mary’s managed just 62 points in their last game, shooting 38.2% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc. They struggled at the free-throw line, hitting only 50% of their attempts, and their two-point shooting was just 40%.
Graham Ike led the way with 24 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 52.6% from the field. Mikey Lewis added 16 points, hitting 4 of 12 from three, while Ryan Nembhard contributed 11 points and 12 assists, shooting 57.1% overall and 66.7% from deep.
Saint Mary’s Gaels put on a strong defensive performance, holding their opponent to just 58 points on 38% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective inside, limiting the opposition to 40% shooting on two-point attempts.
From beyond the arc, the Gaels allowed 9 threes on 25 attempts, a 36% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the line 22 times, where they shot 50%.
Can the Dons Lock in a Home Win?
San Francisco Dons Recent Game/Games
The Dons improved to 17-6 on the season with a 75-51 win over Washington State on Saturday. Playing at home, San Francisco entered the game as 3-point favorites and covered the spread with ease.
San Francisco led 38-26 at halftime and continued their strong play in the second half, outscoring the Cougars 37-25. The total points for the game were 126, falling well short of the 151.5-point over/under line.
The Dons managed 75 points in their last game, shooting 39.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 48.3%. They hit 56% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 27.3% of their 33 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they converted 76.9%, making 20 of 26 shots.
Marcus Williams led the way with 17 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds, despite shooting 25% from three. Junjie Wang added 16 points, hitting 3 of 8 from deep. Dane Erikstrup was efficient, going 6 for 7 from the field, while Ryan Beasley contributed 14 points, hitting 50% of his threes.
San Francisco’s defense held their opponent to just 51 points, allowing them to shoot 39% from the field with 23 made baskets on 58 attempts. From two-point range, the opposition connected on 14 of their 25 shots, good for 56% shooting.
From beyond the arc, San Francisco’s defense limited their opponent to 9 threes on 33 attempts, a 27% success rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 26 times, where they made 20 free throws, shooting 76%. The Dons gave up 14 offensive rebounds in the game.