Saint Mary’s Gaels vs San Francisco Dons Betting Pick & Prediction 1/20/24

The Gaels and Dons are set to face off at 10:00 ET on CBSS. The Dons will host the game at War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, CA. The Gaels are favored in this West Coast conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 128 points.

SAINT MARY’S GAELS VS SAN FRANCISCO DONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Dons +1.5

This game will be played at War Memorial Gymnasium at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.

WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO DONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Dons.
• Not only will San Francisco pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 128 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Gaels?

Heading into tonight’s game against San Francisco, Saint Mary’s is favored by 1.5 points. So far this season, the Gaels have been favored in 17 of their 19 games, going 11-6 in those contests.

As for their road record, Saint Mary’s is a perfect 5-0, with an average scoring margin of +8.8 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, the Gaels are 7-3.

On the season, Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 8-10. In their last three road games, the Gaels have gone 1-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Saint Mary’s has a mark of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 128 is lower than the average over/under line in Saint Mary’s games this season (132.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Saint Mary’s offense is coming off a game in which they scored 73 points vs. Santa Clara. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.4% while connecting on 7 threes. In terms of offense, the Gaels have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 182nd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 369th in percentage and 239th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Gaels’ defense is positioned 5th in the country, permitting 58.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Saint Mary’s’ defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.0% this season.

Are San Francisco Ready for a Home Win?

San Francisco enters this game with a 15-4 record, including a perfect 4-0 mark in West Coast Conference play. The Dons have won seven straight games and have a 11-1 record at home this season.

San Francisco is 0-4 this season when listed as the underdog, and they are currently listed as 1.5-point underdogs for this game. Their average scoring margin at home this year is +20.6 points per game.

As the underdog this season, San Francisco has gone 2-2 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 13-5, including a home mark of 9-3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Dons have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

San Francisco’s over/under record this season is 9-9 and today’s line of 128 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (140.1). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 157 points scored.

San Francisco finished with 90 points in their game against Loyola Marymount. This total surpasses their season-average of 79.9 points per game. On the offensive front, the Dons have a season-long field goal percentage of 50%, ranking 23rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 145th in terms of percentage and 66th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the San Francisco defense is giving up an average of 62.6 points per contest. So far, the San Francisco defense is giving up an average of 6.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.6 times per game (530th).