Saint Mary’s Gaels vs Portland Pilots Betting Pick & Prediction 2/10/24
The Gaels and Pilots are set to face off at 8:30 ET on WCC. The Pilots will host the game at Chiles Center in Portland, OR. Saint Mary’s is favored by -18 in this West Coast conference contest against Portland. The game’s over/under currently sits at 139.5 points.
SAINT MARY’S GAELS VS PORTLAND PILOTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Portland Pilots +18
This game will be played at Chiles Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE PORTLAND PILOTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Pilots.
- Not only will Portland pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +18.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Will Saint Mary’s Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
Through 25 games, Saint Mary’s has been the favorite in 21 matchups, and they have gone 15-6 in those games. They come into this game against Portland with a record of 19-6, including a perfect 10-0 mark in West Coast Conference play. Their current win streak sits at 11 games.
On the road, the Gaels have been even better than at home, going 8-0 compared to 10-6 at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +13.0, and they have won their last eight games away from home.
Against the spread, Saint Mary’s has a .500 record this season at 12-12. On the road, they have gone 5-3 vs. the spread. Over their last three road games, the Gaels are 3-0 ATS and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five road contests. As the favorite, Saint Mary’s has gone 9-12 vs. the spread this season.
This season, the over/under record for Saint Mary’s games is 12-12 and today’s line of 139.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 132.5. So far, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points.
Saint Mary’s is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 84 points versus Pacific. This output is higher than their season-average of 73 points per game. Aidan Mahaney is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 13.8. Meanwhile, Augustas Marciulionis also brings a PPG average of 11.8 into the game.
So far, the Gaels’ defense is ranked 3rd in the country at 57.9 points per contest. Against Pacific in their most recent game, the Saint Mary’s defense gave up a total of 43 points while allowing Pacific to hit 33% of their shots.
No Pressure for Portland as Home Dogs
Portland has not been a good team this season and they have been especially bad on the road where they have gone just 2-11 with an average scoring margin of -17.9 points per game. At home, they are 5-6 with an average scoring margin of -2.4 points per game.
As the underdog, the Pilots have gone just 2-14 this season and they come into this game with an overall record of 9-16. In their last game, they lost to Gonzaga by a score of 96-64.
As the underdog, Portland has gone 5-11 vs. the spread this season and just 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog. However, their home ATS record is 7-4 this year and 5-4 in their last 10 games at home.
Portland’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-13 and the average over/under line in their games is 150.8. So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 139.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 155 points and their OU record in that span is 1-2.
In their recent matchup, the Portland offense ended with 64 points against Gonzaga. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 35.9% and made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Pilots was Juan Sebastian Gorosito with 13 points, while Bol Dengdit also chipped in with 12 points.
Coming into the game, Portland will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 80.8 points per game (319th). So far, the Portland defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.6 times per game (627th).