Sacramento State Hornets vs California-San Diego Tritons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/12/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Hornets versus the Tritons? Tip off is at at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA. The over/under for this game is set at 140.5 points, and California-San Diego is favored by -13.5 against Sacramento State in a non-conference matchup.

SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS VS CALIFORNIA-SAN DIEGO TRITONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets +13.5

This game will be played at LionTree Arena at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, November 12th.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 82-66 in favor of the Hornets.
• Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +13.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will the Hornets Come Through as Road Underdogs?

The Hornets dropped their season opener on Friday, falling 64-57 to Fresno State on the road. Sacramento State entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 121 points was well below the O/U line of 159.5.

Sacramento State led 37-30 at halftime but managed only 20 points in the 2nd half while allowing 34 points to Fresno State.

Sacramento State managed just 57 points in their latest game, shooting 39.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.9%, with a rough night from beyond the arc, hitting only 26.7% on 8-of-30 shooting.

Amar Augillard led the way with 30 points, connecting on 4-of-13 from three-point range. Julian Vaughns added 17 points, shooting 66.7% overall and hitting his only three-point attempt.

Even with Sacramento State sending their opponent to the line 19 times, they managed to hold them to 64 points. The Hornets’ defense was effective, limiting the opposing team to just 34% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, Sacramento State’s defense was solid, as they allowed only 8 three-pointers on 30 attempts, a 26% shooting rate. They also gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Can the Tritons Offense Score Enough at Home?

California-San Diego opened their season with a 94-76 win over Pepperdine on Saturday. Playing at home, the Tritons were -8.5 point favorites and covered the spread. The game’s total points reached 170, surpassing the O/U line of 144.5.

UCSD took control early, leading 47-32 at halftime. They matched that scoring output in the 2nd half, putting up another 47 points, while allowing 44 points to the Waves.

California-San Diego put up 94 points in their last game, shooting 49.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 61.5%. They connected on 16 threes, shooting 42.1% from beyond the arc, and added 14 free throws at a 70% clip. The Tritons also grabbed 12 offensive rebounds and dished out 22 assists.

Stefan Todorovic led the way with 33 points, hitting 6 of 8 threes and shooting 71.4% overall. Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones added 25 points, shooting 81.8% from the floor, while Tyler McGhie contributed 20 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 45.5% rate.

California-San Diego’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 76 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 49% from the field. The Tritons couldn’t contain the two-point attack, as they allowed 16 baskets on 27 attempts, a 59% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, California-San Diego’s defense gave up 16 threes on 38 attempts, with the other team shooting 42% from deep. They also sent the opposition to the free-throw line 20 times, where they hit 14 free throws, a 70% clip. The Tritons allowed 12 offensive rebounds in the game.